New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills 11-19-23 NFL Week 11 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills 11/19/23 – As the NFL season ramps up, attention has turned towards Week 11 matchup between New York Jets (4-5) and Buffalo Bills (5-5) scheduled for Sunday, November 19th at Highmark Stadium with an afternoon kickoff time slot. Fans and bettors alike will find this clash appealing with both teams offering distinct strengths and weaknesses on the field that make for intriguing prospects of free NFL picks for both sides.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Sunday, November 19 at 4:25 PM ET

Location: Highmark Stadium


New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills 11/19/23 Betting Odds

Jets+230+6.5 (+100)40.5 over (-118)
Bills-280-6.5 (-123)40.5 under (-115)

New York Jets Analysis

Offensively, the Jets have shown both promise and inconsistency on offense. Quarterback Zach Wilson‘s modest 74.6 passer rating has allowed him to amass 1863 passing yards; Garrett Wilson has become his top target, collecting 642 receiving yards himself. Unfortunately, these performances must be capitalized upon more to enhance scoring efficiency; Breece Hall’s contributions in the running game at an average 4.9 yards per rush attempt are key, yet more end zone wins must occur for maximum mileage gain.

Defensively, the Jets could use some work. Their 2-7-1 record on the road in their last nine games indicates an area of weakness that the Bills can exploit. Their defensive line must stand up, especially against such an explosive Bills offense as theirs; then apply pressure to quarterback Josh Allen while being alert for deep threats as these are known strengths of Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Buffalos’ offense led by Josh Allen has been more consistent. Allen’s impressive 99.6 passer rating and 2423 passing yards speak volumes of his ability to lead their aerial attack, with Stefon Diggs continuing his strong play with 834 receiving yards and seven touchdowns from receiver. James Cook provides reliable rushing options similar to Hall on the Jets side; to remain successful against them they will need to remain adaptable offensively, mixing effective passing with strategic running plays.

Buffalo’s defense has proven itself formidable at home. Four out of the last five games at Highmark Stadium saw totals go UNDER, attesting to their ability to restrict scoring. They will need to remain wary of Garrett Wilson and the Jets’ potential for big plays; their secondary will also need to provide consistent pressure to disrupt their passing rhythm.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

The Jets have shown they can cover the spread, going 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Buffalo. Despite their struggles on the road, they have a tendency to keep games close, which could make the +6.5 spread an attractive option for bettors. However, the Bills’ recent ATS performance, going 0-6 in their last 6 games, raises concerns about their ability to cover larger spreads, even with their overall better record.

On the Bills’ side, their strong SU record of 13-6 in their last 19 games, coupled with a solid home performance, makes them favorites. However, their difficulty in covering spreads lately, especially a -6.5 spread, should give pause to bettors considering taking them to cover.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -280 

Despite the Jets’ potential to keep it close, the Bills’ overall performance and home-field advantage make them the safer moneyline pick.

Spread: Jets +6.5 (+100) 

Given the Jets’ ability to keep games close and the Bills’ recent ATS struggles, taking the Jets to cover seems like the more prudent bet.

Total: 40.5 under (-115)

Both teams have trends favoring the UNDER, and with strong defensive plays expected, a lower-scoring game seems likely.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 21, New York Jets 17

In conclusion, the most reliable pick for top online betting in Canada seems to be taking the New York Jets to cover the spread. With both teams showing strong defensive capabilities and the game expected to be tightly contested, a close finish is likely, making the Jets at +6.5 an attractive option for bettors.