New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 5-13-23 MLB Analysis, Odds and Tips

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 5/13/23 – On Saturday afternoon, the New York Mets will face off with the Washington Nationals in Game 2 of a three-game divisional series. The Mets will counter with Joey Lucchesi on the mound while Trevor Williams will pitch for the Nationals. The Washington Nationals are favored to win this game according to the recent MLB betting stats.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date & Time: Saturday, May 13, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET

Location: Nationals Park Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 5/13/23 Betting Odds

Mets

Moneyline: -135

Spread: -1.5 (+110)

Total: 9 over (-110)

Nationals

Moneyline: +125

Spread: +1.5 (-130)

Total: 9 under (-105)

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Analysis

The New York Mets continue to produce unreliable results during an easier portion of their schedule. They have lost four out of the last five series they’ve contested, falling to Tigers, Rockies and most recently Reds twice out of three matches. Their bats continue to falter at bat and currently sit eight games out from first place. New York is currently averaging 4.16 runs per game and are ranked 24th. The Mets pitching staff currently boasts a 4.73 team ERA, placing them 23rd among MLB.

Joey Lucchesi will receive the nod on Saturday. Lucchesi had difficulty in his previous outing against the Rockies, surrendering three runs over four innings for an unsuccessful no-decision in a game the Reds ultimately lost. Young lefty Luke had an outstanding season debut when he threw seven innings of shutout ball against the Giants, but has struggled since with a 4.43 ERA and 1.23 WHIP for only one win in 20.1 innings pitched. Last month, Lucchesi pitched against the Nationals and gave up three runs over five innings pitched. He owns a 4.38 earned run average in 24.2 innings pitched against the Nationals.

The Nationals have returned home after going 3-3 in a six-game road swing. They dipped two wins out of three against the Diamondbacks this week before recovering with two victories against the Giants this time around. Batting has been on fire, with four out of their last five games producing five or more runs scored by their offense. Washington’s average runs scored per season is just 4.03, placing them 26th on the leaderboard. The pitching staff has registered an impressive 4.44 team ERA, placing them 19th.

Trevor Williams will take to the mound on Saturday. Williams will look to rebound from his worst outing of the year against the Diamondbacks when he allowed five runs – including two homers – over 4.1 innings but was saved from further punishment by an impressive offense by Washington in an eventual win. He has had an exceptional season, surrendering two or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts for an outstanding 4.25 ERA/WHIP combo of 1.33 combined with an 1-1 record in 36 innings pitched. Williams allowed four runs over five innings against the Mets last month and is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six career meetings.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Against the Spread

Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Mets are 0-4 in Lucchesi’s last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 8-1 in Mets last 9 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Under is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 home games. Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 Saturday games. Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Free Pick

The New York Mets have not shown much promise in recent games. Following their series defeat to the Cincinnati Reds, they have gone just 3-for-7 over their last ten contests – failing to beat inferior competition consistently and often enough. Joey Lucchesi has proven unreliable over his last three starts spanning 13.1 innings, giving up 10 runs over that span while Trevor Williams of the Nationals has been outstanding, giving up two or fewer runs in four of his last six starts and dominating against the Mets lineup. This veteran pitcher has shown great ability at limiting them as per the MLB online experts.

Free Pick: Washington Nationals +125