New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, May 1, 2024

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles – As the MLB season progresses, today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards stands out as a crucial battle in the American League. Both teams are coming off a solid start to the season, with the Yankees posting a 19-10 record and the Orioles not far behind at 17-10. This game not only holds significance in the standings but also for fans and bettors making their baseball betting picks today. Adding intrigue to this encounter, the starting pitchers, Luis Gil for the Yankees and Corbin Burnes for the Orioles, both have distinctive stats that could dictate the day’s outcome.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Date & Time: Wednesday, May 1, 2024, at 6:35 PM ET

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards


New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Odds


New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees have displayed solid offensive skills this season, managing a .245 in batting average with 228 hits and 34 home runs. Their ability to be on bases have ranked them with a .335 OBP showed to be good as their slugging percentage of .396. Those statistics indicate a team that is not an offensive power brokers, but that still makes hitters uncomfortable at the plate.

By successfully holding their team ERA and WHIP stats at 3.01 and 1.18, respectively, the Yankee pitchers have demonstrated their proficiency in limiting opposing team’s scoring binges. Yet, they did not show a high level of expertise by winning the games against the spread on the road (7-8), so there might be some occasional failure to overwhelm their competitors outside the home.

Luis Gil, the starter tonight, has had a 4.01 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP to his account, in the course of 24.2 innings out of his total outing. Among his 35 Ks is the obvious evidence of his strikeout ability, whereas control leaves much to be desired as exemplified by 19 walks. Gil’s performance today will serve to shape the outcome of the game against a formidable Orioles adversary.

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

On the offensive front, the Orioles are putting on the show by keeping up with a .257 batting average that is the best in the league, coupled with a 41 home runs slamming home. The result of extensive home run hitting along with a .456 slugging percentage indicates a batting lineup that is not only proficient in the department of hitting but also has major contributions from power punch in the recent run tally of 145. 

Defensively, there are mixed feelings about the Orioles. Their team ERA of 3.75 may indicate some susceptibility to offense, but this is compensated by a solid 1.17 WHIP, which suggests that their pitchers usually do not let runners reach an advanced base position. 

On that hill tonight stands Corbin Burnes, whose performance this season has been nothing but superb. A 3-0 ledger, a super-lean 2.55 ERA, and a whip-thin WHIP of 0.93 across 35.1 innings, is the breakthrough of a top-tier pitcher. He’s managed up until now with a walking rate of 8, an area in his game that stands out and contrasts with which his Yankees counterpart has today. 

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Against the Spread

Through the recent games of both teams, they both show the same trend with 3-2 records in their last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ underperformance as away favorites of 7-5 is opposite to what the Orioles experienced in this situation of 7-5. Both teams have been OVER side much more frequently than not, which is a clear indicator that their games end up with more goals than expected.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Based on trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles (The Orioles, with Corbin Burnes starting, have the edge in pitching, crucial for winning tight games.)

Spread: New York Yankees (+1.5) (Expecting a close game, taking the Yankees with a spread could offer a safety margin.)

Total: Over (Given the strong offensive stats and recent trends, a higher-scoring game seems likely.)

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 5, New York Yankees 4

In conclusion, today’s matchup offers several intriguing betting opportunities. The most reliable pick appears to be the Orioles on the moneyline, considering their home advantage and Burnes’ dominance on the mound. For bettors, particularly those using a Canadian online sportsbook, this game provides a good mix of risk and potential return, especially considering the Orioles’ consistency in power hitting and starting pitching.