Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11-20-23 NFL Week 11 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/23 – As the NFL season heats up, the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) and Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) will battle it out for supremacy on November 20, 2023 in one of the most anticipated Week 11 matchups this year. Fans and bettors alike are keenly following latest NFL picks to gauge which side has an edge in this titanic matchup.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date & Time: Monday, November 20 at 8:15 PM ET

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium


Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/23 Betting Odds

Eagles+141+3.5 (-111)50.5 over (-112)
Chiefs-165-3.5 (-111)50.5 under (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has led their offense with impressive stats such as a 68.9% completion rate and 15 touchdown passes this season, making him a formidable force within the league. Hurts’ ability to make decisive plays both on the ground and air adds an effective dual threat element to the Eagles’ offense, and D’Andre Swift has led an efficient rushing attack. Swift’s agility and ability to find gaps in the defense, combined with his 614 rushing yards, have been critical components of the Eagles’ ground game. Meanwhile, A.J. Brown’s 1005 receiving yards and significant yards-after-catch contribution make him a primary target for Hurts during key third down situations.

Defensively, Philadelphia can make strides forward against Kansas City Chiefs. Their main challenge will be stopping their powerful offense; therefore their defense must focus on minimizing big plays while applying pressure to Patrick Mahomes, plus maintaining their best aerial attack defense capabilities against Kansas City’s powerful aerial attack.

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Patrick Mahomes has led Kansas City Chiefs’ offense to become one of the league’s powerhouses under his direction. Mahomes has an unparalleled ability to execute complex plays under pressure while making crucial throws when necessary – both hallmarks of his playstyle. With 2442 passing yards and an incredible 68.6% completion rate, Alex Smith has been an instrumental member of the Chiefs’ offensive unit. Additionally, they boast an array of offensive strategies. Isiah Pacheco may not be one of the league’s premier running backs, but his 525 rushing yards help ensure an effective ground game. Additionally, Rashee Rice has proven reliable as part of their receiving unit with 378 yards coming his way over this season and helping keep their offense energized.

Defence-wise, the Chiefs have shown some weaknesses, yet have proven effective at key times. Their focus against the Eagles should be to limit Hurts’ mobility and disrupt their passing game – the Chiefs secondary will likely struggle against Eagles receivers; so applying pressure upfront to lessen their load.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Against the Spread

The Eagles, despite having an impressive overall record, have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against Kansas City, posting an ATS record of just 1-4 over their last 5 meetings. On the road however they have enjoyed greater success; going 11-2-1 over the past 13 games; but their AFC West division performance ATS record of 1-5 is concerning.

Conversely, Kansas City has shown incredible ATS success over their last five games, going 4-1 while posting an overall Under total in each. At home they’ve proven themselves formidable with an 11-1 SU record over that timeframe; which could prove decisive come match time.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Chiefs (-165)

The Chiefs’ strong performance at home and their consistent offensive play make them the safer bet on the moneyline.

Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-111)

Given the Chiefs’ recent ATS success and home-field advantage, they are likely to cover the spread.

Total: Under 50.5 (-110)

Considering the defensive capabilities of both teams and recent UNDER trends for the Chiefs, the total is likely to stay under.

Predicted Score: Kansas City Chiefs 27, Philadelphia Eagles 20

While this game should be closely contested, Kansas City stands out due to their home advantage and superior consistency as the more reliable pick among Canadian betting websites. Though Philadelphia could spring a surprise here, Kansas City’s balanced offense and defense gives them the upper hand for this crucial Week 11 showdown.