Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10-21-23 MLB NLCS Game 5 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/21/23 – The MLB postseason is heating up, and Chase Field is the battleground for a pivotal Game 5 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks. With the NLCS series tied at 2-2, the stakes have never been higher. Both teams are bringing their A-game, and the starting pitchers for tonight are certainly noteworthy. For those seeking expert MLB picks, this is the game to keep an eye on.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Date & Time: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET

Location: Chase Field


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/21/23 Betting Odds

Phillies-125-1.5 (+127)8 over (-104)
Diamondbacks +115+1.5 (-147)8 under (-116)

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have exhibited a commendable offensive prowess, reflected in their batting average of 0.256 and a total of 1417 hits. With a run count of 796 and a notable 220 home runs, the team’s batting proficiency remains evident. Metrics such as an on-base percentage of 0.327 and a slugging percentage of 0.438 further substantiate their consistent performance at the plate.

From a defensive perspective, the Phillies have maintained a respectable ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.24. Although their pitchers have issued 470 walks, they have adeptly struck out 1454 adversaries, illustrating a balance between precision and potency. Nonetheless, an opponent batting average of 0.240 highlights potential vulnerabilities against formidable batting lineups.

For this evening’s game, Zack Wheeler is the selected starting pitcher for the Phillies. With a commendable season record of 2-0, an ERA of 2.37, and a WHIP of 0.63 over 19 innings, Wheeler has showcased exemplary form. Yielding a mere 11 hits and 2 home runs, while securing 26 strikeouts, underscores Wheeler’s pivotal role in influencing tonight’s game outcome.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks, in their offensive efforts, somewhat lag behind the Phillies, yet their statistics remain noteworthy. They maintain a batting average of 0.250, having accumulated 746 runs from their 1359 hits. Their tally of 166 home runs underscores the capability of their power hitters. Furthermore, their on-base percentage stands at 0.322, coupled with a slugging percentage of 0.408, underlining their formidable presence during offensive plays.

Defensively, Arizona registers a marginally elevated ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.32. Their pitching staff has conceded 525 walks while successfully striking out 1351 adversaries. An opponent batting average of 0.251 indicates certain vulnerabilities they have encountered in neutralizing opposing hitters.

For this pivotal contest, Arizona has designated Zac Gallen as the starting pitcher. With a postseason record of 2-1, an ERA of 4.96, and a WHIP spanning 16.1 innings at 1.53, Gallen’s challenges have been evident. Given that he has permitted 18 hits and 4 home runs, his contribution will undeniably influence the game’s trajectory.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Against the Spread

The Phillies have been in strong form recently, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 7 games and a solid 8-3 SU in their last 11 outings. However, their track record on the road, especially against Arizona, is less convincing.

Conversely, the Diamondbacks have been dominant at home, holding a 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at Chase Field. Their record against the Phillies is also noteworthy, especially with a 10-4 SU when playing at home against them.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +115

Based on Arizona’s commendable home records and Philadelphia’s challenges on the road, Arizona appears to hold a slight advantage.

Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5. (-147)

Given Arizona’s consistent results at home, particularly against Philadelphia, it is anticipated that the Diamondbacks will either maintain proximity in the score or secure a victory.

Total: 8 over (-104)

Taking into account the offensive prowess exhibited by both teams and the prevailing trend of matches with elevated scores, it would be prudent to predict that the total might surpass the set limit.

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6, Philadelphia Phillies 5

In conclusion, while both teams are highly competitive and have their strengths, the Arizona Diamondbacks seem to have a slight edge, especially considering their recent performance at home. For those placing their bets on a Canadian online sportsbook, the safest pick would be Arizona Diamondbacks on the Moneyline and taking the over on the total.