Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals 9-16-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals 9/16/23 – Today at Busch Stadium, the Philadelphia Phillies will take on the St. Louis Cardinals in an eagerly anticipated matchup between Ranger Suarez of the Philadelphia Phillies and Miles Mikolas of St Louis Cardinals, both looking for late-season redemption with wins that can change their trajectory. Fans and bettors should anticipate an exciting night as both teams attempt to turn things around; we’ll share insights and picks that could be helpful when betting on Canadian sportsbook activities.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Date & Time: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET

Location: Busch Stadium


Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals 9/16/23 Betting Odds

Phillies-109-1.5 (+145)9 over (+100)
Cardinals-101+1.5 (-165)9 under (-120)

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies have constructed one of the more balanced offensive lineups in the league this year. Their batting average of 0.258 speaks to this consistency at the plate. With 714 runs scored and a robust 1294 hits, they have proven that they can put runs on the board. Their 195 home runs this season showcase their ability to change the game with a single swing, giving them an intimidation factor that’s hard to ignore.

The On-Base Percentage (OBP) of the Phillies is 0.329, which suggests that their hitters have a fairly good eye and are selective at the plate. Their Slugging Percentage stands at 0.44, a testament to the extra-base power littered throughout their lineup. It’s worth noting that these numbers make them a challenging matchup for any starting pitcher.

Speaking of pitchers, Ranger Suarez is set to take the mound for Philadelphia. He brings a 2-6 win-loss record and a 3.93 ERA into the matchup. Suarez has pitched for 107.2 innings so far this season, allowing 111 hits while registering 104 strikeouts against 40 walks. His WHIP of 1.4 is a bit concerning and suggests that he often lets batters get on base, possibly leading to risky situations with runners in scoring positions. Suarez’s 12 home runs allowed also indicate that when he makes mistakes, they can be costly.

St. Louis Cardinals Analysis

The Cardinals are no slouches when it comes to their offensive capabilities. With a 0.253 batting average, they have shown decent consistency. Their 666 runs and 1260 hits signify that they can keep up in a slugfest, and their 200 home runs indicate significant power in their batting order.

Their OBP is 0.327, slightly below the Phillies but still respectable. The Slugging Percentage of 0.425 also indicates they have some batters capable of extra-base hits. While not as powerful as the Phillies on paper, they should not be underestimated, especially with the home-field advantage.

Miles Mikolas, the Cardinals’ starting pitcher, has experience on his side but comes into the game with some worrying statistics. His 7-11 record and 4.75 ERA aren’t exactly reassuring. Mikolas has pitched 176.1 innings, giving up 197 hits and 22 home runs, while striking out 116 and walking 36. His WHIP of 1.32, although better than Suarez’s, still suggests he’s giving away too many free bases. His 22 home runs allowed are another red flag, indicating susceptibility to big hits.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Against the Spread

The Phillies have an erratic trend going on. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 6 games, yet they are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games. However, they’ve been successful against the Cardinals, standing at 5-0 SU in their last five matchups. In away games against St. Louis, the total usually goes UNDER, with 5 of their last 6 games following this pattern. The Phillies are generally 2-5 SU against National League opponents but have a better record of 4-2 SU against the National League Central Division.

For the Cardinals, the trend shows better recent form with a 7-3 SU record in their last 10 games. The total has generally been on the UNDER side in their recent games, and they are particularly strong when playing at home against the Phillies, where the total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 6 matches. However, they have been struggling against teams from the National League East Division with a 3-7 SU record.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Here are our picks after carefully considering odds, trends, team stats and starting pitchers:

Moneyline: Phillies -109

Based on recent form and historical matchups, a smart pick would be the Philadelphia Phillies at Moneyline -109.

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+145)

Given that the Phillies have been doing well against the Cardinals, taking the Phillies with a spread of -1.5 (+145) could be rewarding.

Total: 9 under (-120)

Both teams have a history of going UNDER when they play against each other, especially in St. Louis. Therefore, choosing the UNDER at 9 (-120) seems logical.

Prediction: 3-5 Philadelphia Phillies win

This matchup promises to be thrilling, featuring two teams with their unique strengths and weaknesses. Based on our detailed analysis and trends, our picks could add excitement and possibly profit to your sports betting adventure. Don’t miss out on free daily baseball picks to keep you ahead of the game. Happy betting!