Salernitana vs. Torino 9-18-23 Serie A Soccer Odds, Analysis, and Best Pick

Salernitana vs. Torino 9/18/23 – Salernitana and Torino will go head-to-head at Stadio Arechi in Salerno on Monday, September 18th, 2023 at the Stadio Arechi. Guillermo Ochoa of Salernitana will defend against Vanja Milinkovic-Savic of Torino; the Paramount+ broadcast will ensure maximum excitement during this matchup. Serie A free picks may add even more spice.

Salernitana vs. Torino

Date & Time: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:30 PM ET

Location: Stadio Arechi in Salerno, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Salernitana vs. Torino Betting Odds

Salernitana+200+1 (-182)2.25 over (-102)
Torino +126-1 (+375)2.25 under (+102)

Salernitana Analysis

Salernitana had a disappointing last season, ending up with a record of 0-2-1. They struggled on both ends of the field, finishing 18th in expected goals with only 1.7, indicating a lackluster attack. Defensively, they were even more worrisome, with their expected goals against sitting at 4.4. They allowed five goals while surrendering 1.67 goals per 90 minutes, statistics that put them near the bottom of the league defensively.

The team’s goaltender, Guillermo Ochoa, will have a lot on his shoulders. Last season, Ochoa had a save percentage of 73.3 and didn’t manage to keep a single clean sheet. This highlights the porous defense in front of him and his own form that needs improvement. With 140 career clean sheets and a save percentage of 73.2, Ochoa is an experienced goalkeeper, but will need to raise his game for Salernitana to have any chance.

Torino Analysis

In contrast, Torino had a relatively balanced performance last season with a 1-1-1 record. They recorded 2 goals with an expected goal ratio of 1.9, suggesting a fairly competent offense. They were slightly better defensively, allowing 1.33 goals per 90 minutes. One key advantage for Torino is their ability to keep clean sheets; they managed two last season, which gives them a psychological edge heading into this match.

Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Torino’s expected starting goaltender, had a solid save percentage of 81.8 last season. His career stats are also impressive, with 37 clean sheets and a save percentage of 74.0. His experience and form will be key factors for Torino, and he certainly seems better equipped than his counterpart, Ochoa, to keep the ball out of the net.

Salernitana vs. Torino Agianst the Spread

Salernitana’s recent form leaves much to be desired, with an unimpressive 0-1 record in their last five outings. Against the spread, they’ve been a little better, going 2-1, which may suggest that they often outperform the low expectations set by bookmakers. However, it’s crucial to note that their over/under statistics are inconsistent, with the totals having gone over in only 1 of their last 3 games. Furthermore, Salernitana has a 1-1 record against the spread when playing on the road, indicating that their performance doesn’t significantly improve or decline when they are away from home.

In contrast, Torino appears to be in a somewhat better shape, boasting a 1-1 record in their last 5 games. Nevertheless, their performance against the spread is less encouraging, going 1-2, which suggests that they often struggle to meet or exceed the expectations set by the odds. Regarding over/under, the totals have gone over in just 1 of Torino’s last 3 games, somewhat mirroring Salernitana’s inconsistency in this aspect. When playing away, Torino has a 0-1 record against the spread, so they haven’t been particularly strong when not playing at their home venue.

Salernitana vs. Torino Free Pick

Based on current form and last season’s performances, a win for Torino seems plausible. Here are our picks for this clash: 

Moneyline: Torino +126

Given their balanced team and better form, Torino appears to be the smart moneyline pick.

Spread: Torino -1 (+375)

-With better attacking and defensive stats, Torino should be able to cover the -1 spread.

Total: 2.25 under (+102)

Considering Salernitana’s poor offensive record, the under seems like a solid bet.

Draw: A draw seems unlikely, given Torino’s superior form and ability to keep clean sheets.

Prediction: 0-2 Torino win

This Serie A clash provides an excellent opportunity for bettors, especially those interested in live betting in Canada, to take advantage of some promising odds. While both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, the edge clearly goes to Torino based on last season’s stats and current form. Therefore, smart money would be on Torino to secure a win and potentially cover the spread. As always, remember to gamble responsibly. Good luck!