Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills 10-26-23 NFL Week 7 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills 10/26/23 – Thursday Night Football brings fans a tantalizing matchup as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers square off against the Buffalo Bills. As we approach the middle of the season, both teams are eager to further solidify their playoff hopes. With the Buccaneers at a balanced 3-3 and the Bills slightly ahead at 4-3, NFL free picks for this game are bound to be intriguing.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET

Location: Highmark Stadium


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills 10/26/23 Betting Odds

Buccaneers +300+8.5 (-110)43.5 over (-105)
Bills-380-8.5 (-112)43.5 under (-116)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis

The Buccaneers’ offense, led by Baker Mayfield, shows promising potential. With a 65.2% completion rate and 1,363 passing yards over six games, Mayfield’s stability in the pocket has been a key factor. His synergy with Mike Evans cannot be ignored; Evans has consistently been a deep threat and a nightmare for secondaries with his 468 receiving yards in just six games. On the rushing side, Rachaad White provides a balanced approach to their offensive game. Though his numbers are modest, his consistency ensures that defenses cannot solely focus on the passing game, adding a layer of unpredictability to Tampa Bay’s plays.

Defensively, Tampa Bay’s performance has been a mixed bag. While their frontline remains robust, their secondary has had lapses that high-caliber quarterbacks have exploited. Going against a quarterback of Allen’s caliber, they will need to tighten their coverage and ensure they remain disciplined in their zones. Pressuring Allen will be a key strategy; if given time, he can pick apart any defense, making it imperative for the Bucs to disturb his rhythm and force errors.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Buffalo’s offensive prowess is evident, primarily driven by Josh Allen‘s elite quarterbacking. A 70.7% completion rate and an impressive 1,841 passing yards showcase his proficiency in reading defenses and executing plays. His chemistry with Stefon Diggs is remarkable. Diggs, already approaching 700 receiving yards, can change the complexion of a game with just a few receptions. Furthermore, James Cook’s contributions on the ground cannot be understated. Averaging 4.8 yards per rush attempt, he provides Buffalo with a potent rushing threat, ensuring that defenses have more than just the aerial attack to worry about.

Defensively, the Bills have shown they can be both formidable and fragile. Their strength at home is undeniable, often leveraging the passionate Buffalo crowd to rattle opponents. Their defensive line and linebackers have shown the ability to restrict the running game of opponents effectively. However, facing a quarterback like Mayfield, who has been efficient in his passes, the Bills’ secondary will be tested. They will need to ensure that players like Mike Evans are kept in check and not allowed to make big plays down the field. An aggressive pass rush could be the key to keeping Mayfield off balance and limiting Tampa Bay’s scoring opportunities.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

Tampa Bay’s recent betting trends raise eyebrows. They’re 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games and have struggled especially against teams from the AFC, going 0-6 ATS in their last 6 matchups. However, they have historically performed well against Buffalo, standing at 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 encounters.

The Bills, meanwhile, have had their share of ATS woes, standing at 3-6 in their last 9 games. Their overall performance, though, especially at home, makes them formidable opponents. They are 15-3 SU in their last 18 home games, proving their dominance at Highmark Stadium.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -380 

Given the Buffalo Bills’ strong home record and Josh Allen’s form, the Bills look poised to win.

Spread: Buccaneers +8.5 (-110)

Even though we predict a Bills win, Tampa’s historical performance against Buffalo makes this spread enticing.

Total: 43.5 under (-116)

Both teams have powerful offenses, but considering the importance of the game and the potential defensive plays, an under seems likely.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19

In conclusion, while both teams offer intriguing matchups and betting opportunities, the most reliable pick seems to be the Bills on the Moneyline, given their strong home record and Tampa’s ATS woes against AFC teams. For those involved in Canadian sports betting, closely watching the dynamics of this game is advised.