Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11-6-23 NHL Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds-

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/6/23 – As the NHL regular season winds down, two formidable Eastern Conference teams, Tampa Bay Lightning (5-3-3) and Toronto Maple Leafs (5-4-2), prepare to square off against each other on Monday, November 6, 2023 at Scotiabank Arena – a venue well known for hosting high-stakes hockey matchups. This contest serves both as a test of skill and strategy and also acts as an important indicator for bettors looking for winning NHL picks. As both squads sit around.500 marks with hopes of asserting dominance early in their seasons’, this clash promises an electrifying clash.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs

Date & Time: Monday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: Scotiabank Arena


Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/6/23 Betting Odds

Lightning+136+1.5 (-190)6.5 over -121
Maple Leafs-153-1.5 (+165)6.5 under +105

Tampa Bay Lightning Analysis

Offensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning have proven they can disrupt even the most composed defenses with their speed and skill on offense. Nikita Kucherov is already sitting with 16 points after only 13 games played – his 14.6% shooting percentage marks him as an especially significant threat. Center Brayden Point’s 14 points prove his skill at finding the back of the net and creating plays, yet his -3 and -5 plus/minus ratings raise some concerns regarding Tampa Bay’s on-ice liabilities. When facing off against Toronto Maple Leafs defense that has experienced fluctuations, Tampa Bay must exploit any holes in Toronto coverage and capitalize on power play opportunities to turn things in their favor and tip the balance in favor of their team.

On defense, Jonas Johansson of the Lightning has shown outstanding resilience between the pipes with an outstanding save percentage of 0.916. Despite being on a losing road team, Johansson will be crucial in stopping Toronto Maple Leafs high-caliber shooters; their matchup hinges upon Tampa Bay being able to shut down leading scorers and reduce power play chances; no easy feat given Toronto’s proven prowess in special team situations.

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

Auston Matthews leads Toronto Maple Leafs’ offense with an incredible 21.6% shooting percentage on 51 shots – indicative of peak form – while William Nylander has also contributed 15 points thus far. These duo must continue their dominance against Tampa Bay Lightning defense, who have shown some cracks away games. If Matthews and Nylander can exploit any gaps and put Johansson under pressure it could make for an entertaining night against them!

Defensively, Toronto will rely heavily on Ilya Samsonov in goal. Although Samsonov has had his share of struggles this season – his save percentage stands at only 0.871 – they must step up their game to block shots from Tampa Bay’s top guns and help their goaltender deal with high-danger scoring opportunities effectively. Toronto’s defensive corps must support Samsonov by disrupting Lightning playmakers and limiting high-risk scoring chances; ultimately this matchup will come down to defence versus offense with both teams determined by how well Toronto defends.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Against the Spread

Tampa Bay’s recent games against Toronto and their road performance suggests they have struggled to find consistent success. Their recent results, 1-5 straight-up (SU) records against Toronto Leafs and 4-11 straight up (SU) records over their last 15 road games present them with an uphill challenge that they must overcome; yet Tampa’s streak of high scoring games in November and on Mondays might indicate an offensive surge for them.

Toronto’s recent record, on the other hand, illustrates an inconsistent team that was successful during November (5-2 SU), but has experienced home disappointment with two straight two-score losses over their last nine games at home and an increasing tendency towards UNDER total points scores as they pursue consistency and equilibrium.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning (+136)

Despite the Leafs’ home advantage and recent successes in November, the value pick here is on the Lightning at +136. Their ability to engage in high-scoring games, especially considering the Leafs’ recent home record, makes them a tempting choice.

Spread: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-190)

The +1.5 puckline for Tampa is a conservative bet, safeguarding against a close game which is often the case with these two evenly matched teams. Tampa Bay’s ability to keep games close, even in losses, makes this an attractive bet.

Total: Over 6.5 (-121)

Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and Tampa Bay’s trend towards high-scoring games on Mondays, the over on 6.5 goals is a sensible choice, albeit at steeper odds.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Canadian betting websites present bettors with an invaluable opportunity: betting the Lightning’s moneyline offers an attractive proposition. While puckline may offer greater predictability, both teams’ aggressive offensive play makes total points an irresistibly tempting bet; bettors could thus capitalize on what promises to be an engaging and closely contested contest.