Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9-26-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9/26/23 – The Tampa Bay Rays, standing tall at 95-62, gear up to face the Boston Red Sox, who are currently sitting at 76-80. This match-up brings together two formidable American League East teams, each with their own set of strengths and challenges this season. Pivotal to this contest will be the starting pitchers, with the Rays leaning on Zach Eflin and the Red Sox relying on Tanner Houck. With Fenway Park set to buzz with energy, fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the top MLB picks today.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Date & Time: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Location: Fenway Park


Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9/26/23 Betting Odds

Tampa Bay Rays-116-1.58.5 over
Boston Red Sox+106+1.58.5 under

Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

Tampa Bay has enjoyed a stellar offensive season, boasting a batting average of .258. Their power-hitting is evident, amassing 222 home runs and registering a commendable 823 runs from their 1372 hits. With an on-base percentage of .330 and a slugging percentage of .443, the Rays have consistently placed pressure on opposing defenses.

On the defensive side, the Rays have showcased their strength with a solid 3.83 ERA and an impressive WHIP of 1.17. Their ability to strike out opponents, with a total of 1454 strikeouts, juxtaposed against 425 walks, underlines their dominance on the mound.

For this matchup, Zach Eflin will be the player to watch. With a 15-8 win-loss record and a 3.44 ERA over 172.2 innings, he’s been instrumental in the Rays’ success this season. His 182 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.03 indicate his ability to control games and maintain pressure on batters.

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Boston Red Sox, with a .261 batting average, have been competent offensively. They’ve accumulated 754 runs from their 1397 hits, aided by their 180 home runs. Their on-base percentage stands at .327 with a slugging percentage of .430, highlighting their ability to get players on bases and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Defensively, the Red Sox have faced challenges with a 4.57 ERA and a WHIP of 1.35. They’ve managed to strike out 1374 batters, but the 485 walks indicate moments of vulnerability.

Tanner Houck will be on the mound for the Red Sox. His 5-9 record and a 4.92 ERA over 97 innings suggest he’s had his share of challenges this season. However, with 91 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.35, Houck has shown moments of brilliance and will be keen to deliver in this pivotal match.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Against the Spread

Recent trends reflect the Rays’ offensive prowess, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 5 games. They’ve also been dominant against the Red Sox, registering a 5-1 SU in their recent matchups. However, their encounters in Boston have seen the total going UNDER in 5 of the last 7 games.

The Red Sox, on the other hand, have seen the total go UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games. Their recent form has been shaky with a 2-8 SU in their last 10 games. Notably, their matchups against Tampa Bay have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of the last 6 games.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Rays -116 

The Rays’ recent form and season stats give them a slight advantage in this match-up.

Spread: Rays -1.5 (+130) 

Considering their recent domination against the Red Sox, they should cover the spread.

Total: 8.5 over (-110)

Both teams have displayed offensive strength recently, suggesting a high-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 6 – Boston Red Sox 4

In conclusion, while the Red Sox will be aiming to use their home advantage at Fenway Park, the Rays’ recent form and performance statistics indicate they’re the safer bet. For enthusiasts aiming to capitalize on this match-up, it’s worth noting that the best sportsbooks in Canada have attractive odds for this encounter, ensuring both excitement on the field and potentially profitable outcomes off it.