Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 14 Betting Picks and Prediction for Monday, December 11, 2023

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 14 – The 9-3 Miami Dolphins host the 4-8 Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 14 action. This AFC showdown sees two teams trending in opposite directions this season. The Dolphins are making a push for the playoffs, while the Titans are all but eliminated from contention. This game is a key focus for NFL picks today, with bettors and fans eagerly anticipating the outcome. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins

Date & Time: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET

Location: Hard Rock Stadium


Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 14 Betting Odds

Titans+475+11.5 (-111)43.5 over (-106)
Dolphins-650-11.5 (-111)43.5 under (-116)

Tennessee Titans Analysis

The Tennessee offense has struggled mightily, averaging just 16.8 points per game. Quarterback Will Levis has posted mediocre numbers with 1266 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 picks while taking 19 sacks. He holds onto the ball too long and lacks weapons in the passing attack. Running back Derrick Henry is the lone bright spot, rushing for 841 yards and 8 scores on 4.3 yards per carry. Still, the Titans rank 30th in total offense and struggle to sustain drives. More creativity is needed from the offensive coaching staff.

Defensively, Tennessee allows 23.8 points per contest, which ranks 20th overall. They have talent at all three levels in players but have underperformed expectations. Too often, the Titans defense has allowed long, back-breaking scoring drives late in games. The pass rush lacks consistency with only 19 sacks on the year. Tennessee has also been vulnerable versus the run, permitting over 120 rushing yards per game. The Titans must generate more pressure and turnovers while getting critical stops to pull the upset.

Miami Dolphins Analysis

Miami boasts an explosive offense that averages 26.1 points per outing, good for 5th best in the NFL. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is enjoying a career year with 3457 yards, 24 touchdowns and a 106 rating. He has developed superb chemistry with receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who have combined for over 2600 receiving yards. Tagovailoa spreads the ball around effectively and makes great pre-snap reads. His top weapons are running back Raheem Mostert (14 touchdowns) and receiver Tyreek Hill (12 touchdowns). The Dolphins utilize motion and misdirection to thrive both on the ground and through the air. The offensive line has also held up well, allowing just 17 sacks.

Defensively, Miami allows 20.8 points per game, which ranks 10th league-wide. The unit excels in takeaways with 29 on the year. The Dolphins secondary is filled with ball hawks. Miami also has 37 sacks. The front seven can generate pressure while the secondary feasts on mistakes. Together, they make life difficult for opposing quarterbacks. The Dolphins defense must watch out for Henry and get pressure on Levis to limit Tennessee’s scoring chances.

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Against the Spread

The Titans are just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 contests. Tennessee has lost 4 straight games straight up. On the road this season, the Titans are 0-5 ATS. Tennessee is also 0-5 ATS in its previous 5 meetings with Miami. 

The Dolphins meanwhile have covered in 11 of their last 15 outings. Miami is 6-0 straight up at home this season. In addition, the Dolphins are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 showdowns with AFC foes.

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Dolphins -650

The Dolphins’ strong overall performance and home record make them the clear favorites.

Spread: Dolphins -11.5 (-111)

Given the Dolphins’ offensive prowess and the Titans’ defensive struggles, Miami is likely to cover the spread.

Total: 43.5 under (-116)

Both teams have trends towards the UNDER, and it’s likely this trend will continue.

Predicted Score: Miami Dolphins 28, Tennessee Titans 14

The most reliable pick is the Dolphins covering the spread. Their balanced attack and strong defensive play, combined with the Titans’ road woes, make them a solid choice. For top online betting in Canada, considering the teams’ current form and head-to-head statistics is essential for informed betting decisions. The Dolphins, with their impressive home record and offensive capabilities, are the safer bet in this Week 14 NFL matchup.