Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4-29-23 NHL Picks, Prediction and Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/29/23 – On Saturday night, the Toronto Maple Leafs will travel to Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 6 of their best-of-seven opening round series. Toronto leads this series 3-2 and hopes to force Game 7 with home advantage; while the Maple Leafs are expecting to close it out soon according to NHL betting tips by the experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 

Date & Time: Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: Amalie Arena Tampa, FL


Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/29/23 Betting Odds

Maple Leafs

Moneyline: -105

Puckline: +1.5 (-280)

Total: 6.5 over (+102)


Moneyline: -105

Puckline: -1.5 (+235)

Total: 6.5 under (-113)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs will strive for greater success on the ice after suffering a 4-2 loss against Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 5. Toronto accrued 4 penalty minutes during this contest. The Maple Leafs did not produce their best offensive performance in this loss, with two power play attempts going unanswered and only scoring on two out of 30 shots they put at goal. At even strength, the Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed 175 goals while scoring 214 offensively. Toronto opponents have had 248 power play opportunities with 45 goals scored on those chances. Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded 278 goals this season while giving up 220-a totaling 2,628 shots and having a shot percentage of 10.6%. Since their season started, they have amassed 111 points at 0.677 of points percentage and faced 2,420 shots against them with their 909 save percentage. Toronto has taken advantage of 246 power play opportunities and scored 64 goals from those attempts, yielding an efficiency rate of 26.02%. Ilya Samsonov will be protecting the net in this game and has seen opponents score 324 goals against him during his professional career, an average of 2.65 goals against per game.

Game 5 saw Tampa Bay Lightning make two attempts on the power play without scoring, while Lightning managed four goals out of their 38 shots on goal attempts. Tampa Bay Lightning are currently sitting with 209 goals at even strength and 71 on the power play, having attempted 2,621 shots for an effective shot percentage of 10.68% while also allowing opposing teams 2,582 shots. Tampa Bay Lightning have scored 280 goals this season for 98 points with an incredible points percentage of 0.598. Their opponents have managed 252 goals to be scored by a combination of 199 goals at even strength and 53 goals while they were short handed. At this point, they have had 280 opportunities on the power play and boast an overall rate of 25.36%. Furthermore, their penalty kill rate stands at 79.69% against opponents’ 261 power play opportunities, with their save percentage coming in at 90.2%. Andrei Vasilevskiy can typically be found manning the net across the ice. Opponents have averaged 2.52 goals per game and Vasilevskiy has allowed 1,051 goals total. His rate of quality starts is currently 57.33% with 238 quality starts recorded during his career.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Against the Spread

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games. Toronto are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games. Toronto are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay. Toronto are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games. Tampa Bay are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Free Pick

Toronto looks to return to the second round after 19 years, while Tampa Bay hopes to avoid elimination by winning here. The Lightning have long dominated the Eastern Conference, making three straight trips to the Stanley Cup Finals while winning two championships, but this season has proven more difficult. Toronto has evolved over time. They’ve become physical with each of their four lines contributing to production while goaltending has been solid if unspectacular. Take Maple Leafs as they make their push to advance on Second-Round according to NHL betting forums.

Free Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-280)