Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 05-06-23 Best Bets, Odds and Prediction

UFC 288: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 05/06/23 – Drew Dober will look to extend his winning streak when he takes on Matt Frevola for a three-round lightweight fight on Saturday. This match forms part of UFC 288’s preliminary card. The main event pitted Aljamain Sterling against Henry Cejudo to fight for the bantamweight championship of UFC. Dober had an outstanding 2022, winning three of his fights by knockout. Now in 2023 he looks to extend that streak against Frevola who also boasts two consecutive knockout victories. UFC betting splits demonstrate Frevola to be an overwhelming underdog in this fight despite possessing comparable knockout power as Dober.

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola

Date & Time: Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, USA


UFC 288: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 05/06/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: -210


Moneyline: +180

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Analysis

Drew Dober comes into the Octagon with an impressive record of 26-11-0 (1 NC). At 155 pounds and standing 5′ 8″, Dober will fight at 5’8″. This southpaw fighter boasts an imposing 70″ wingspan. Drew Dober has an average strike rate of 4.47 per minute in regards to significant hits. Dober has achieved success on 40% of his significant strikes he attempts. Dober defends in the Octagon by scoring 4.40 significant strikes per minute. Dober has successfully defended 51% of significant strikes that have been directed against him. Drew Dober recently defeated Bobby Green via a knockout win via an early round 2 punch to the head. Green was successful in landing 75 out of 145 strikes he attempted during the contest while Dober managed 34 hits out of 121 total attempts. Green had 51% accuracy for significant hits out of 142 attempts he completed – landing 73 of them outright and creating a 51% success rate in this regard. He was successful in landing 50 out of 113 significant blows to the head, while Dober was responsible for 28% of them by landing 34 of 121 strikes thrown. From all his significant strikes, 16 out of 86 hits aimed directly at his head were scored by him. Green scored 98% of his significant hits from distance while Dober landed 97%.

Matt “The SteamRolla” Frevola stands at 5′ 9″, weighing in at 155 lbs. He currently boasts an overall record of 10-3-1 and the 32-year-old stretches 71″. Matt Frevola achieved 3.46 significant strikes per minute. Frevola connects on 41% of his significant strikes he attempts and can deflect 59% of shots directed his way. Matt Frevola recently defeated Ottman Azaitar via a first round knockout thanks to a punch to the head delivered in round 1. Azaitar scored 100% on all significant strikes taken from distance while Frevola connected on 63% of his attempts made from distance. Frevola managed to hit 40% of his significant strikes attempted, striking 11 out of 27 significant blows. Azaitar ended up landing 10 of 24 significant strikes directed at his head. Additionally, in that contest he hit 10 out of 22 significant blows. Out of those significant strikes, he managed to land 6 of 17 to the head. Azaitar was successful with 11 of 23 total strikes while Frevola connected on 12 out of 28 total throws.

Drew Dober does not score high marks in wrestling as his opponents only tend to fall to him 0.71 times per three rounds. However, Dober is successfully getting his opponent onto the mat on 17% of attempts and blocking 55% of takedown attempts made against him while Frevola has taken down 37% of his opponents when attempted takedowns are executed, and blocked 42%. Dober was less inclined than Frevola to try for submissions during each of three rounds; Frevola attempted 1.0 submission every 15 mins.

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Stats

Wins/Losses/Draws26-11-0 (1 NC)10-3-1
Average Fight Time8:038:23
Height5′ 8″5′ 9″
Weight155 lbs.155 lbs.
Strikes Landed per Min.4.473.46
Striking Accuracy40%41%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.4.403.49
Takedowns Average/15 min.0.712.39
Takedown Accuracy17%37%
Takedown Defense55%42%
Submission Average/15 min.0.11.0

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Free Pick

Two lightweight fighters enter the octagon looking to capture another win and advance in their lightweight rankings. Both boxers possess superior striking abilities and grappling abilities; therefore, whoever performs his maneuvers first will stand a good chance of victory in this match. However, given their combined power, any match could turn on one punch that decides its outcome. UFC betting experts regard Dober as their go-to man due to his vast experience inside the octagon but don’t ignore Frevola, he is an all-round fighter that is capable of ending fights either through knockout or submission.

Free Pick: Drew Dober -210