UFC 294: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski 10/21/23 – As UFC 294 approaches, the MMA community is buzzing with anticipation over one of the most awaited lightweight title bouts of the year. The venue, Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, is primed for this electrifying match. Mark your calendars for the 21st of October, with the action kicking off at 2:00 PM ET. For those seeking MMA free picks, this detailed analysis of both fighters, their past performances, and current stats will surely give you an insightful perspective. The stakes are high, the stats are intriguing, and the odds are already setting the betting world abuzz.
Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Date & Time: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET
Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
TV: ESPN+
UFC 294: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski 10/21/23 Betting Odds
| Moneyline | |
| Makhachev | -265 |
| Volkanovski | +225 |
Islam Makhachev Analysis
Emerging as one of the most dominant forces from Russia, Makhachev’s record of 24-1-0 speaks volumes about his consistency in the Octagon. His offense, while not as aggressive as some, is precise and calculated. With an average of 2.35 significant strikes landed per minute and a commendable striking accuracy of 59%, he ensures that his attacks count. But it’s not just his striking that makes him a formidable opponent. Makhachev‘s grappling is where he truly shines. His takedown metrics are impressive, averaging 3.24 every 15 minutes with a pinpoint accuracy of 62%. This, combined with a formidable takedown defense of 90%, showcases his ability to control the fight’s pace and direction, both offensively and defensively.
In his most recent outings, Makhachev’s victory over Rodriguez reinforced his standing in the lightweight division. The way he seamlessly transitions from striking to grappling makes him unpredictable and challenging to prepare for. While his striking stats might not be as imposing as Volkanovski’s, his all-rounded skill set, combined with his impeccable ground game, makes him a dangerous adversary. With a submission average of 1.1 every 15 minutes, opponents should be wary when the fight goes to the ground.
Alexander Volkanovski Analysis
Alexander Volkanovski, with a notable record of 26-2-0, has made a mark for himself in the lightweight category with performances that resonate with his nickname, “The Great.” His striking is nothing short of prolific. Averaging a staggering 6.25 significant strikes per minute, he is a continuous threat in stand-up exchanges. Even though his striking accuracy is 56%, the sheer volume of his strikes can overwhelm opponents. This relentless pressure allows him to dictate the fight’s rhythm, putting adversaries on the back foot and often compromising their game plan.
However, while his striking game is robust, Volkanovski’s grappling stats reveal certain vulnerabilities. Averaging 1.86 takedowns every 15 minutes, his accuracy stands at a mere 37%. This could be a potential area of concern, especially when pitted against a grappler of Makhachev’s caliber. His takedown defense, while decent at 69%, will be put to the test. Volkanovski’s recent victory added another feather to his cap, but facing Makhachev will require a well-rounded strategy, ensuring he doesn’t get dominated on the mat.
Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski Stats
| Makhachev | Volkanovski | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 24-1-0 | 26-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:15 | 17:14 |
| Height | 5′ 10″ | 5′ 6″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach | 70″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 2.35 | 6.25 |
| Striking Accuracy | 59% | 56% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 1.27 | 3.36 |
| Defense | 61% | 58% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 3.24 | 1.86 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 62% | 37% |
| Takedown Defense | 90% | 69% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 1.1 | 0.2 |
Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski Free Pick
After dissecting the performances, stats, and recent fights of both contenders, making a pick requires factoring in the strengths, vulnerabilities, and the current form of the fighters. Makhachev’s ground game, takedown accuracy, and defense are undoubtedly formidable. On the other hand, Volkanovski, with his aggressive striking rate, can pose a significant threat if he keeps the fight standing. Given the trends and the skills displayed in their recent bouts, the pick here leans towards Islam Makhachev. His superior grappling ability could be the decisive factor, especially if he manages to control the tempo and dictate where the fight takes place.
Free Pick: Islam Makhachev -265
As we wrap up our analysis, it’s evident that this bout has all the makings of a classic. UFC 294 offers a chance to witness two of the most skilled fighters in the lightweight category. For those engaged in Canadian sports betting, the odds point towards a preference for Volkanovski, but MMA is a sport full of surprises. Both fighters have their strengths and potential game plans, but based on stats and recent performances, Makhachev has a slight edge. Whether you’re in it for the thrill of the fight or the allure of the odds, this bout promises to be an unforgettable spectacle.
