Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill 5/20/23 – On Saturday, Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill will square off in an anticipated five-round battle in the women’s strawweight division at UFC Fight Night 223. This epic bout serves as the main event and promises to alter 115-pound rankings significantly; Dern is seeking redemption following her recent majority decision loss against Yan Xiaonan, while Hill, currently ranked 14th, hopes to extend her winning streak of three victories. However, as per the latest UFC betting splits, Mackenzie Dern is the favorite to win this fight.

Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill

Date & Time: Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA


Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill 5/20/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: -172


Moneyline: +147

Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Analysis

Mackenzie Dern, a 30-year-old orthodox fighter, boasts an impressive record of 12-3-0. Standing at 5’4″ and weighing in at 115 lbs, Dern possesses a reach of 63″. Known for her grappling skills, she has showcased an average of 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes. Dern’s takedown accuracy stands at 11%, and she effectively defends against 40% of takedown attempts from her opponents. Furthermore, Dern exhibits submission expertise, attempting an impressive 1.8 finishes per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Dern lands an average of 3.02 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 36%. She absorbs 4.39 significant strikes per minute and successfully stops 52% of her opponents’ significant strikes.

Dern’s last fight against Yan Xiaonan resulted in a majority decision loss in the fifth round. Despite the defeat, Dern showcased her resilience, landing 40% of her significant strikes and exhibiting a robust and striking accuracy.

Angela “Overkill” Hill, a 38-year-old orthodox fighter, enters the octagon with a record of 15-12-0. Standing at 5’3″ and weighing 115 lbs, Hill possesses a reach advantage with 64″. While detailed grappling statistics are unavailable, Hill has proven to be a formidable wrestler, successfully landing takedowns on 29% of her attempts and thwarting 77% of her opponents’ takedown tries. In terms of striking, Hill showcases an impressive output, landing an average of 5.68 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 49%. She absorbs 4.97 significant strikes per minute and exhibits solid defensive skills, stopping 62% of the strikes thrown her way.

Hill’s recent victory against Emily Ducote by unanimous decision in the third round demonstrated her striking superiority. Hill displayed impressive striking accuracy, landing 52% of her significant strikes and maintaining control throughout the fight.

In this matchup, Dern’s strength lies in her grappling proficiency and submission attempts. Her ability to take opponents to the canvas and create submission opportunities could pose significant challenges for Hill. However, Hill’s striking prowess and high output cannot be ignored, making her a formidable opponent. The fight’s outcome may depend on whether Hill can successfully defend against Dern’s takedown attempts and neutralize her ground game or if Dern can utilize her grappling skills effectively against Hill’s striking.

Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill 

Average Fight Time12:2214:02
Height5′ 4″5′ 3″
Weight115 lbs.115 lbs.
Strikes Landed per Min.3.025.68
Striking Accuracy36%49%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.4.394.97
Takedowns Average/15 min.0.610.58
Takedown Accuracy11%29%
Takedown Defense40%77%
Submission Average/15 min.1.80.1

Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Free Pick

Both fighters possess unique skill sets that could impact the outcome. Mackenzie Dern’s grappling expertise and submission attempts make her an outstanding opponent on the ground. If she can successfully execute takedowns and secure advantageous positions, she can control the fight and seek submission victory. Angela Hill holds an overwhelming foot advantage with her superior striking output and accuracy. She can successfully defend against Dern’s takedown attempts and maintain distance; she has an opportunity to land significant strikes and possibly claim victory through the decision, but Mackenzie Dern is a more efficient wrestler, according to the UFC betting experts.

Free Pick: Mackenzie Dern -172