UFC FIGHT NIGHT 231 Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis 11-4-23 Odds, Tips, and Prediction

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 231: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis 11/4/23 – The UFC’s stage is set for another thrilling encounter as we approach UFC Fight Night 231. Scheduled at a yet-to-be-announced venue on November 4th, 2023, the event promises fireworks with the marquee heavyweight bout featuring “MALHADINHO” Jailton Almeida taking on “THE BLACK BEAST” Derrick Lewis. With anticipation at an all-time high, UFC enthusiasts and bettors are scouring for the best insights and UFC free picks. Let’s dive into a comprehensive analysis to offer those insights.

Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis

Date & Time: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET 

Location: Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil


UFC FIGHT NIGHT 231: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis 11/4/23 Betting Odds


Jailton Almeida Analysis

Jailton Almeida, known in the MMA circles as “MALHADINHO”, boasts an enviable record of 19-2-0, establishing himself as a force to be reckoned with in the heavyweight division. With an average fight time of just over 5 minutes, Almeida has shown a penchant for finishing his opponents rather swiftly. His striking game is impeccable, landing 3.81 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 64%, making him one of the most precise heavyweights in the business. However, his defense, standing at 25%, does hint at a chink in his armor, presenting opportunities for his opponents.

When it comes to the ground game, Almeida is nothing short of exceptional. He averages 6.40 takedowns every 15 minutes, indicating his preference for grounding his adversaries and dominating them there. His takedown accuracy of 68% is testament to his grappling prowess. Moreover, with a submission average of 2.5/15 min, opponents must be wary of getting caught in his crafty submission attempts. His recent triumph over Rozenstruik underscores his current form and underlines his potential in the upcoming bout.

Derrick Lewis Analysis

Derrick “THE BLACK BEAST” Lewis, a veteran of the sport, has carved out a substantial career with a record of 27-11-0 (1 NC). His average fight time of 8:30 implies a more strategic, perhaps methodical approach, gauging his opponents and waiting for the right moment to unleash. In the striking department, Lewis might seem a tad conservative, landing 2.60 significant strikes per minute, but his 50% striking accuracy indicates that when he does strike, it counts. However, the fact that he absorbs 2.59 strikes per minute suggests potential vulnerabilities in his defensive game, with a defense rate standing at 41%.

Lewis’s grappling statistics paint a picture of a fighter who prefers to keep the fight standing. With only 0.59 takedowns averaged per 15 minutes and a 28% takedown accuracy, it’s clear that his primary game doesn’t revolve around ground control. However, what he lacks in takedowns, he makes up with his resilience and sheer power, as evidenced by his recent victory over Rogerio de Lima. While his submission stats are negligible, opponents cannot disregard the knockout threat he poses every time he steps into the octagon.

Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis Stats

Wins/Losses/Draws19-2-027-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time5:058:30
Height6′ 3″6′ 3″
Weight205 lbs.260 lbs.
Strikes Landed per Min.3.812.60
Striking Accuracy64%50%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.0.302.59
Takedowns Average/15 min.6.400.59
Takedown Accuracy68%28%
Takedown Defense50%52%
Submission Average/15 min.2.50.0

Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis Free Pick

Considering the statistics, performance metrics, and recent fights, Jailton Almeida appears to have a marked advantage over Derrick Lewis. Almeida’s superior striking rate and accuracy, combined with his outstanding grappling and submission skills, make him the favorite for this bout. The odds also reflect this sentiment with Almeida at -450 and Lewis at +350. Hence, our pick for this bout is Jailton Almeida. His all-round game seems more potent, and if recent performances are anything to go by, he seems poised for another victory.

Free Pick: Jailton Almeida -450

UFC Fight Night 231 promises to be a spectacular event with the highlight being the heavyweight bout between Almeida and Lewis. While both fighters have showcased immense talent and power in the octagon, Almeida’s statistics and recent performances provide him a discernible edge. For those participating in Canadian live betting, it would be wise to keep an eye on the match dynamics and capitalize on in-game opportunities. However, as with any sport, the unpredictability factor remains, making the fight all the more exciting. Whatever the outcome, fans are in for a treat.