UFC ON ESPN 48 Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson 7-1-23 Odds, Prediction, and Best Picks

UFC ON ESPN 48: Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson 7/1/23 – As MMA betting experts, we delve into the highly anticipated lightweight bout between Damir Ismagulov and Grant Dawson at UFC ON ESPN 48. Today, we will thoroughly assess both fighters’ offensive and defensive capabilities, drawing insights from their past fights. Based on our analysis, we will provide predictions and picks for this exciting matchup.

Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson 

Date & Time: Saturday, July 1, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

TV: ESPN+

UFC ON ESPN 48: Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson 7/1/23 Betting Odds

Ismagulov

Moneyline: -119

Dawson

Moneyline: -111

Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson Analysis

Damir Ismagulov, known as “QAZAQ,” enters this bout with an impressive professional record of 24 wins, two losses, and no draws. Ismagulov has showcased remarkable endurance, as evidenced by his average fight time of 15 minutes. Standing at 5’10” and weighing 155 lbs, he possesses a reach advantage with a measurement of 74 inches. Ismagulov adopts an orthodox stance and has proven his striking prowess in previous bouts.

On the offensive front, Ismagulov displays a respectable striking volume, averaging 3.78 significant strikes landed per minute. His striking accuracy is 42%, enabling him to connect with clean and effective strikes. Ismagulov’s defensive capabilities are also noteworthy, with a special defense rate of 62%, indicating his ability to evade and deflect opponent’s strikes. His solid defense is complemented by absorbing only 2.51 strikes per minute.

Grant Dawson, also known as “KGD,” boasts a formidable record of 19 wins, one loss, and one draw, reflecting his prowess inside the octagon. With an average fight time of 11 minutes and 51 seconds, Dawson has showcased his ability to finish fights efficiently. Like Ismagulov, Dawson stands at 5’10” and weighs 155 lbs, but with a slightly shorter reach of 72 inches. His ability to switch stances sets Dawson apart, keeping his opponents guessing seamlessly.

Regarding offense, Dawson has an impressive takedown average of 3.80 per 15 minutes, underscoring his exceptional grappling skills. His accuracy is 34%, showcasing his ability to execute successful takedowns. Furthermore, Dawson has an average of 1.6 submissions per 15 minutes, highlighting his proficiency in capitalizing on ground opportunities. While his impressive numbers may be slightly lower than Ismagulov’s, Dawson’s striking accuracy of 51% indicates his ability to make significant strikes count.

Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson Stats

IsmagulovDawson
Wins/Losses/Draws24-2-019-1-1
Average Fight Time15:0011:51
Height5′ 10″5′ 10″
Weight155 lbs.155 lbs.
Reach74″72″
StanceOrthodoxSwitch
Strikes Landed per Min.3.783.12
Striking Accuracy42%51%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.2.512.41
Defense62%45%
Takedowns Average/15 min.1.173.80
Takedown Accuracy28%34%
Takedown Defense75%40%
Submission Average/15 min.0.01.6

Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson Free Pick

Considering the fighters’ performances and the odds, we anticipate a highly competitive matchup. Damir Ismagulov’s striking volume and defense could pose a challenge for Grant Dawson. However, Dawson’s well-rounded skill set, particularly his grappling proficiency and submission threat, gives him the advantage. Dawson’s ability to control the fight on the ground and secure submissions makes him a formidable opponent.

In line with our analysis, we make our expert pick for this lightweight bout: Grant Dawson. While both fighters possess unique skills, Dawson’s grappling expertise will play a pivotal role in securing the victory. However, it’s important to note that MMA fights are unpredictable, and Ismagulov’s striking could present obstacles for Dawson.

Free Pick: Grant Dawson -111

After thoroughly analyzing the forthcoming UFC ON ESPN 48 showdown between Damir Ismagulov and Grant Dawson, our assessment reveals Ismagulov’s commendable striking prowess and impressive defensive skills, positioning him as a formidable contender. However, Grant Dawson’s versatile skill set, characterized by his exceptional grappling and submission techniques, will ultimately grant him the advantage in this matchup. Enthusiastic MMA bettors can eagerly anticipate a captivating clash on fight night, as these highly skilled athletes leave no stone unturned in their quest for victory inside the octagon. For accurate MMA betting picks, keep a close eye on the dynamic dynamics of this thrilling encounter.