Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons 10-15-23 NFL Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons 10/15/23 – As the NFL season pushes through its sixth week, the Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons are set to clash in a matchup that promises to keep fans at the edge of their seats. With both teams showcasing mixed performances in their opening games, finding the right NFL betting picks can be a tantalizing task for punters.

Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons

Date & Time: Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium


Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons 10/15/23 Betting Odds

Commanders +120+2.5 (-105)41.5 over (-110)
Falcons-140-2.5 (-111)41.5 under (-110)

Washington Commanders Analysis

The Commanders’ offensive unit, led by Sam Howell, has shown glimpses of brilliance but remains inconsistent. Howell’s impressive completion rate of 72.1% showcases his potential and accuracy, but the protection he’s been receiving is concerning. With 29 sacks in just five games, the O-line seems porous, and Howell has been under immense pressure. This could hamper their game plan against the Falcons. Terry McLaurin has emerged as Howell’s favorite target, consistently making plays and helping to advance the chains. The ground game, too, has seen a boost with Brian Robinson Jr. His over 4 yards per carry has balanced the Commanders’ attack, proving that they can hurt defenses both through the air and on the ground.

Defensively, the Commanders have room for improvement. While they’ve displayed resilience in some matchups, their pass defense needs tightening. The frequency of sacks Howell has endured is an alarming sign of possible O-line frailties, which the Falcons’ defensive line may look to exploit. The secondary, while managing decent coverage in patches, will have to be vigilant against the likes of Drake London. They need a solid strategy and perhaps a more aggressive defensive play to counter the Falcons’ offensive weapons.

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

With Desmond Ridder at the helm, the Falcons’ offense has been steady if not spectacular. Ridder’s calm demeanor and effective ball distribution have been vital to their successes. Though his stats might not be sky-high, he brings stability to the offense. The real star, however, has been Bijan Robinson. Averaging a commendable 5.4 yards per carry, Robinson can find gaps and exploit them, turning plays into significant gains. The receiving corps, especially Drake London, have provided the deep-threat element to this offense. London’s average yards per reception are a testament to his ability to stretch the field and make big plays.

On the defensive front, the Falcons have shown resilience and adaptability. They’ve managed to curtail the scoring opportunities of several opponents this season. However, the dual-threat of Howell’s precise passing and Robinson’s explosive rushes can pose a significant challenge. The Falcons’ defensive line will need to ramp up the pressure on Howell, exploiting the Commanders’ O-line, which has shown vulnerabilities. The secondary will have a crucial role, with the responsibility of containing big-play threats like McLaurin, ensuring he doesn’t change the game’s complexion with his explosive plays.

Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons Against the Spread

Recent betting trends show the Commanders struggling with a 3-7 ATS in their last 10 outings. They’ve been underwhelming in straight-up games as well, marking 3-6 in their last 9 matchups. However, they have had the upper hand against the Falcons recently, with a 4-1 ATS in their last five confrontations.

Conversely, the Falcons have had their own set of challenges, recording a 1-4 ATS in their past 5 games. Their home performance is commendable, having gone 5-0 SU in their recent home games. Interestingly, the total has consistently gone over when playing at home against Washington, which might suggest a high-scoring game this time around.

Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Falcons -140

The Falcons’ superior record and home advantage make them favorites.

Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-105)

Despite being the underdogs, the Commanders’ recent ATS success against the Falcons might see them covering the spread.

Total: 41.5 over (-110)

Given the recent history of high-scoring games between these two, it’s likely they will exceed the total.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Falcons 24, Washington Commanders 23

In conclusion, while the Falcons seem poised to win this game, the Commanders cannot be written off entirely. Their past performances against Atlanta give them a competitive edge. Punters looking to maximize their returns might want to focus on the Over pick for this matchup. For more insights and odds, make sure to check out the best betting sites in Canada.