Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles 10-01-23 NFL Week 4 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles 10/01/23 – As the NFL season heats up, Week 4 features a nail-biting NFC East matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles. With both teams holding commendable records, this duel is expected to draw significant attention not only for football enthusiasts but also for those keen on live betting in Canada

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Date & Time: Sunday, October 1 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Lincoln Financial Field

TV: FOX

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles 10/01/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Washington Commanders+290+7.5 (-110)44.5 over (-111)
Philadelphia Eagles-370-7.5 (-112)44.5 under (-111)

Washington Commanders Analysis

Offensively, the Commanders’ success largely hinges on the performance of their quarterback, Sam Howell. With a 65.7% completion rate and 671 passing yards, Howell demonstrates a decent command over the offense. His partnership with Curtis Samuel has been of note, with Samuel racking up 127 receiving yards in just three games. However, Howell’s vulnerability to sacks and a relatively high interception count is worrying. On the ground, Brian Robinson Jr. has exhibited promise, recording 216 rushing yards across three games, making him a vital asset in the Commanders’ playbook.

Defensively, the Commanders showcase a blend of strengths and weaknesses. While moments of brilliance have been observed, their record against the spread is indicative of their inconsistencies. To stand a chance against a team as cohesive as the Eagles, the Commanders’ defense will need to be more disciplined, particularly in thwarting the passing prowess of Jalen Hurts and the ground maneuvers of D’Andre Swift. The linemen, especially, must remain vigilant to exert continuous pressure, potentially forcing turnovers.

Philadelphia Eagles Analysis

Jalen Hurts, the Eagles’ quarterback, has significantly bolstered the team’s offensive structure. With an impressive 71.4% completion rate, Hurts often targets DeVonta Smith, who has become a pivotal player, collecting 178 receiving yards in just two matches. Complementing this aerial assault, D’Andre Swift on the ground has averaged 89 rushing yards per game, establishing himself as a primary offensive weapon. This dual-threat capability renders the Eagles’ offensive unit extremely challenging for opponents to counter.

Defensively, the Eagles have a robust setup but will need to be particularly wary of the Commanders’ passing strategy. Their secondary should be well-prepared to curtail big plays, especially those targeted at Curtis Samuel. Capitalizing on Howell’s vulnerability to sacks should be a priority, as placing him under constant pressure might force errors. If the defensive front can regularly breach the Commanders’ offensive line, they could dictate the rhythm of the game.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Against the Spread

When analyzing recent trends, the Commanders seem to be a bit of an enigma against the spread. With an overall 2-1 record this season, their 1-2 ATS record raises eyebrows. Their inconsistency against the spread, despite a commendable win-loss record, suggests some close-fought matches. Their singular success in road games against the spread provides a glimmer of hope, yet it’s crucial to note that the Eagles present a unique challenge given their current form.

On the flip side, the Eagles have proven to be a bettor’s dream this season. Undefeated in both their games and against the spread, they present a pattern of consistency and dominance. This 2-0 stance in both the win column and ATS paints a picture of a team that not only knows how to secure a victory but also do it decisively. Their home performance further solidifies their position, making them a daunting adversary for the Commanders in this matchup.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Eagles -370 

Given their strong performance and home-field advantage, the Eagles emerge as favorites.

Spread: Eagles -7.5 (-112)

Given the Eagles’ consistent form and the Commanders’ inconsistencies, it seems likely the Eagles can cover this spread.

Total: 44.5 over (-111)

With both teams boasting powerful offenses, it’s likely they’ll combine to surpass this total.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Eagles 28, Washington Commanders 20

To wrap up, this Week 4 matchup at Lincoln Financial Field is primed to be a classic NFC East encounter. As both the Commanders and Eagles jostle for dominance, those keen on the free football picks will undoubtedly find this contest a focal point of their betting strategies.