Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7/1/23 – Washington Nationals will face off with Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday in an exciting MLB contest. MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals and Zack Wheeler of the Phillies both have star starters to look out for when it comes to starting pitching – let’s break down both teams, look at MLB betting trends, and make informed picks.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time: Saturday, July 1, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NBCSP
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7/1/23 Betting Odds
Nationals
Moneyline: +175
Spread: +1.5 (-115)
Total: 8.5 over (-115)
Phillies
Moneyline: -210
Spread: -1.5 (-105)
Total: 8.5 under (-105)
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Analysis
The Washington Nationals enter each game with an impressive batting average of 0.261, showing their solid level of consistency at bat. Their offense has proved its ability to generate runs and hit for power, with 333 runs scored and 64 homers. Their on-base percentage of 0.319 suggests room for improvement in reaching base and creating scoring opportunities; their slugging percentage of 0.395 indicates they possess some power hitters capable of driving balls over fences into gapping spaces between batters’ lines.
MacKenzie Gore will take to the mound for the Nationals this season and has shown glimpses of promise with an ERA of 3.89 and WHIP of 1.41, posting 85.2 innings pitched have yielded 85 strikeouts – showing his ability to miss bats effectively while giving up 37 earned runs and issuing 36 walks that indicate some inconsistency with his command and control.
The Philadelphia Phillies possess a respectable batting average of 0.257, illustrating their consistent ability to make contact and put the ball into play. With 353 runs scored and 86 homers hit, their offense has proven capable of providing run support. Their on-base percentage of 0.321 displays their ability to reach base safely while keeping innings alive, while their slugging percentage of 0.417 suggests power and gap-hitting prowess.
On the mound, the Phillies will turn to Zack Wheeler – their ace with an impressive record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.76 while having a WHIP of 1.17. He has been an invaluable force throughout this season for the Phillies with 93.1 innings pitched, featuring an astounding 106 strikeouts, showing off his ability to overpower opposing batters and command and efficiency while only giving up 39 earned runs and issuing 22 walks during games pitched so far this season.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread
Betting trends surrounding this matchup are notable: Washington Nationals have seen the under hit in seven out of their last eight road games, totals between 6.5 and 10.5, signaling low-scoring affairs. Furthermore, MacKenzie Gore has struggled in five starts during game two of a series for Washington, going winless. Furthermore, they have an unfavorable record when facing National League East opponents, with totals between 9.0 and 10.5 set in those games as well.
At the other end of the spectrum, Philadelphia Phillies have shown an under-hitting trend in five consecutive Saturday games, suggesting lower-scoring matchups on this day. Furthermore, all five Phillies games with totals set at 11.0 or greater saw under hittings; additionally, Zack Wheeler had four consecutive successful outings on grass that they won despite going the distance against them each time out.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Based on the odds, lines, and team performances, here are the recommended picks for this game:
Moneyline: Phillies -220
With a strong offense and Zack Wheeler’s reliable pitching, the Philadelphia Phillies are the favored team in this matchup. The moneyline of -210 suggests a higher probability of the Phillies securing a victory.
Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-105)
Considering the Nationals’ struggles on the road and the Phillies’ offensive capabilities, selecting the Phillies with a spread of -1.5 (-105) seems logical. Philadelphia’s ability to outscore their opponents, combined with Wheeler’s dominant pitching, positions them well to cover the spread.
Total: 8.5 under (-105)
Given the betting trends and pitching prowess of both starters, betting on the total score to go under 8.5 (-115) appears prudent. Anticipate a closely contested game with limited scoring opportunities.
Prediction: 3-5 Philadelphia Phillies win
Based on the current odds, lines, and team performances, the Philadelphia Phillies are positioned for success in today’s MLB game against the Washington Nationals. With a well-rounded offense and the formidable presence of Zack Wheeler as their starting pitcher, the Phillies are the favored choice to emerge victorious. If you want to place bets, consider backing the Phillies to win the game, cover the spread, and keep the total score under 8.5 runs. Nevertheless, exercising caution and conducting your analysis before finalizing any MLB picks today is crucial, as the unpredictable nature of sports can always surprise us.
