Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies 11-14-23 NCAAF Week 12 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies 11/14/23 – As the NCAAF season progresses into Week 12, the matchup between the Western Michigan Broncos and the Northern Illinois Huskies is drawing significant attention from fans and bettors alike, including those frequenting Canadian sportsbooks. Both teams, sharing identical 4-6 records, are set to clash on Tuesday, November 14, 2023. This game, critical for both teams’ season aspirations, promises to be a tightly contested battle.

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Date & Time: Tuesday, November 14, at 7:00 PM ET

Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium


Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Odds

Western Michigan +131+3.5 (-115)56.5 over (-112)
Northern Illinois -173-3.5 (-115)56.5 under (-110)

Western Michigan Broncos Analysis

Offensively, the Broncos have shown both resilience and inconsistency this season. Quarterback Hayden Wolff has been at the core of their offense with 113 completions from 168 attempts and 1200 passing yards; his 67.3% completion rate and 7.1 yards per pass attempt are impressive, but 8 touchdowns against 3 interceptions should serve as an indicator that there may be room for improvement. Meanwhile Jalen Buckley, with 892 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns is an extremely talented running back who exploit defenses while Kenneth Womack contributes 66 receptions and 623 receiving yards; increasing his touchdown count would add much-needed depth.

Western Michigan faces numerous defensive hurdles on defense. Their 6-1 against the spread (ATS) record in their last seven games shows an ability to outperform expectations; however, their 3-6 straight up (SU) record and 1-5 road record suggest struggles in closing out games away from home. Improving defensive cohesion and tackling efficiency could be key in turning close games into victories.

Northern Illinois Huskies Analysis

The Huskies’ offense has shown glimpses of promise but lacks consistency. Rocky Lombardi’s statistics reflect this with his 58.2% completion rate and 1799 passing yards; Antario Brown has been more consistent, rushing for 916 yards and 7 touchdowns while breaking tackles to make significant gains a hallmark of his play. Wide receiver Trayvon Rudolph (439 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns) needs to step up as part of an offensive strategy diversification effort for greater impactful performance from this group of Huskies players.

On defense, the Huskies have an inconsistent showing. While their last five home games saw totals go under and indicate strong defense performances, their 6-14 record in their last 20 contests raises some concern. Applying pressure to opposing quarterbacks while fortifying run defense could prove crucial against Broncos.

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Against the Spread

The Broncos have shown a strong tendency to beat the spread, especially in recent games. Their 6-1 ATS record in the last 7 games is commendable. However, their record against Northern Illinois, being 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings, is a worrying trend. The Broncos’ offensive strengths, particularly in rushing, might be key in covering the spread.

Conversely, the Huskies’ 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against West Division opponents show vulnerability. However, they have a strong record playing at home against Western Michigan, going 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games against them. This historical edge could play a significant role in this matchup.

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Northern Illinois -173

The Huskies’ strong home performance against the Broncos historically gives them the edge in this matchup.

Spread: Western Michigan +3.5 (-115)

Despite the Huskies’ advantage at home, the Broncos’ recent ATS performance suggests they can keep the game close.

Total: 56.5 over (-112) 

Both teams have offenses capable of putting up points, and the Broncos’ tendency for high-scoring games suggests the total might go over.

Predicted Score: Northern Illinois Huskies 31, Western Michigan Broncos 28

The most reliable pick for NCAAF daily picks in this matchup seems to be the over on the total. Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and trends, it’s likely that this game will feature a higher-than-average score. However, considering the Huskies’ strong home record against the Broncos, taking them on the moneyline also seems a sound choice for bettors looking for a straight-up win.