Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans 9-22-23 NCAAF Odds, Best Picks, and Analysis

Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans 9/22/23 – In the high-stakes world of college football, every game matters, and this week is no different. The Air Force Falcons (3-0) will face off against the San José State Spartans (1-3) this Saturday. This matchup is one to watch for anyone keen on making solid NCAAF picks

Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans 

Date & Time: Saturday, September 22, 2023, at 10:30 PM ET  

Location: CEFCU Stadium  


Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans 9/22/23 Betting Odds

Air Force-180-3.5 (-110)46.5 over (-110)
San José State+160+3.5 (-110)46.5 under (-110)

Air Force Falcons Analysis

The Air Force Falcons are undefeated so far this season, displaying a strong offensive strategy. Quarterback Zac Larrier boasts a 60% completion rate with 193 passing yards, achieving a passer rating of 255.1. But the real standout is the ground game. Running Back Owen Burk has accumulated 222 rushing yards with an average of 5.7 yards per carry, showing that the Falcons have a balanced attack. Additionally, their wide receiver Jared Roznos has shown big-play capability with an average of 48 yards per reception. The offensive line also deserves a mention for providing solid protection and creating running lanes, evidenced by only three total sacks against Larrier.

Defensively, the Falcons have managed to keep the opposition under control, a critical factor behind their 3-0 start. However, they will need to continue this momentum and especially focus on their pass defense to restrict San José State’s aerial attack. Consistency will be key for Air Force to walk away with another victory. Tackling has been a strong suit for this defense, limiting big plays from the opposition. A sustained focus on taking away the ball could tilt the field position battle in their favor.

San José State Spartans Analysis

San José State has struggled this season with a 1-3 record, but there are bright spots in their offensive unit. QB Chevan Cordeiro has thrown for 783 yards with a completion rate of 58.6%, and Running Back Quali Conley averages an impressive 6.7 yards per rush. Their versatile attack could give Air Force’s defense some issues. Wide Receiver Nick Nash is another weapon in their arsenal, racking up 206 receiving yards and three touchdowns. The offense shows promise but will need to be at their absolute best to penetrate the Falcons’ defense.

On the defensive side, San José State will need to improve significantly to have a chance against Air Force. Their defensive line will have to step up to counter Air Force’s potent ground game. Considering their recent performances, there is room for improvement, especially in their run defense. One point of concern is the number of sacks allowed, which stands at nine, resulting in a loss of 78 yards. This could be crucial against an Air Force team that prides itself on defensive solidity.

Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans Against the Spread

The Air Force Falcons have a compelling betting trend with an 8-0 SU in their last eight games, and they’re 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road. However, it’s worth mentioning they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against San José State, which could raise some eyebrows.

As for the San José State Spartans, their recent betting trends are not encouraging. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games and 0-6 ATS against an opponent in the Mountain West conference. While they are 7-1 SU in their last eight home games, their recent poor form makes it difficult to back them against the spread.

Air Force Falcons vs. San José State Spartans Free Pick

Here are our top selections for this highly anticipated matchup:

Moneyline: Air Force -180

Our pick would be Air Force Falcons at -180. They have a balanced offensive attack and a strong defensive unit that should overpower the struggling Spartans.

Spread: Air Force -3.5 (-110)

Considering both teams’ recent performances against the spread, we recommend taking Air Force Falcons -3.5 at -110.

Total: 46.5 under (-110)

Given that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Air Force’s last 10 games, we would opt for the UNDER 46.5 at -110.

Predicted Score: Air Force 28, San José State 17

This matchup between the Air Force Falcons and San José State Spartans seems to favor the former in almost every aspect. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but the Falcons’ recent form suggests they are more likely to come out on top. For those interested in live betting, you might want to check out some Canadian live betting websites for real-time action.