New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9-21-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 – As Major League Baseball continues, we prepare for another exciting matchup between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday September 21, 2023. Starting pitchers David Peterson for the Mets and Ranger Suarez of the Phillies will meet up. If betting, consider using one of Canada top betting sites for detailed analysis of odds.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date & Time: Thursday, September 21, 2023, at 7:15 PM ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park


New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 Betting Odds

New York Mets+151+1.5 (-140)9 over -110
Philadelphia Phillies-165-1.5 (+120)9 under -110

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have had an uninspiring season so far, posting a 70-81 record at this juncture. Their offensive performance leaves much to be desired with 664 runs scored and only 197 homers hitting their way onto the scoresheet – not exactly clutch situations where consistency at bat is key; on-base percentage of.318 and slugging percentage of.407 both point towards missed scoring opportunities for this team.

Defensively, the Mets have fallen far short with their pitching staff and team ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.36 have limited their chances to remain competitive; fielders often had to cover for shortcomings on the mound; opponent batting average against them of.247 confirms this fact.

David Peterson holds an unimpressive 3-8 record with an ERA of 5.22 and WHIP of 1.59. In 100 innings pitched, he’s allowed 115 hits and 15 homers while striking out 113 batters. Peterson enters this matchup as the underdog pitcher; for any hope at victory on their part.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies are currently holding onto an 83-69 record and looking strong as they strive for playoff eligibility. Their offense has been especially effective, hitting for an average of.258 and scoring 740 runs so far this season. Their power hitting has shown no mercy against opposing pitchers as their 204 homers give them a powerful punch in any pitching matchup – OBP of.328 and Slugging percentage of.44 make them one of the more complete offensive squads this season.

Defensively, the Phillies are more stable than their New York rivals. Their pitchers average an ERA of 4.04 while WHIP stands at 1.25; these figures may not be impressive but still qualify as respectable numbers. Their 1340 strikeouts provide ample ammunition against Mets’ hitters while opponent batting average stands at just.242, suggesting they are relatively better at keeping opposing offenses under control.

Ranger Suarez of the Phillies comes into this matchup boasting superior statistics than his counterpart from New Orleans. While his win/loss record stands at 3-6, his ERA and WHIP numbers show otherwise; in 113.2 innings pitched thus far, Suarez has struck out 109 batters while only walking 44 of them; giving the Phillies an enormous edge in this pivotal matchup.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

To properly evaluate the Mets and Phillies against the spread, it’s essential to keep up-to-date on their recent performances and trends. While their overall season struggles haven’t been impressive, the Mets have shown signs of life lately by going 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against oddsmakers, suggesting they frequently surpass expectations even though their outright win-loss record may not look impressive. Unfortunately, their road games against spread record stands at 30-45 suggesting they struggle meeting them when away from home.

On the other side of things, Phillies have had mixed results against the spread recently – they currently stand at 2-3 in their last five games against it and although their record in their last five outings (3-2), including road games (35-42) leaves room for improvement; however, since this game will take place at home where their history of outright victory and covering is generally stronger, giving them a much higher chance of covering in this matchup.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies (-165). Their superior offensive and pitching stats make them the more likely team to win.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+120). Given the Phillies’ offensive prowess and pitching advantages, they should be able to cover the spread.

Total: Under 9 (+105). Both teams have pitching issues but given the recent trends, it’s safer to bet on the total going under 9.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, New York Mets 3

This game sets the stage for a Philadelphia Phillies win given their dominant overall team performance this season. No matter your betting expertise or background, these free baseball picks provide an in-depth guide of what to expect in this matchup.