Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 09-30-23 NCAAF Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 09/30/23 – As we enter Week 5 of the NCAAF season, college football picks are becoming increasingly anticipated. One particularly anticipated matchup features Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1) taking on Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2) at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on September 30th at 9:00 pm ET; ESPN will broadcast this game.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date & Time: Saturday, September 30, 2023, at 9:00 PM ET

Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field


Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 09/30/23 Betting Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide-600-14.5 (-110)46.5 over (-110)
Mississippi State+460+14.5 (-110)46.5 under (-110)

Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis

Alabama Crimson Tide enter this matchup with a 3-1 record, fresh off an impressive win against Georgia Southern University. Their offensive leader, Jalen Milroe, has led an impressive offensive performance for this team, completing 44 out of 66 passes for 674 yards at an astounding completion percentage of 66% and throwing for six touchdowns while maintaining an incredible passer rating of 173.4. Jase McClellan’s running ability has also been notable, as he amassed 263 yards with an average of 5.1 yards per carry, which will play an integral part in this contest.

Milroe has found success targeting wide receiver Jermaine Burton for 8 receptions for 189 yards, showing his explosive playmaking and 23.6 average yards per reception average. Alabama’s defense has been strong overall, but they’ve struggled on the road recently – they went 1-6 against the spread in seven away games last season; but against Mississippi State, they boast an incredible track record, winning the last 10 meetings and 8-0 when playing on the road against them.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Analysis

Mississippi State Bulldogs, with an even 2-2 record, have had an uneven start to their season. Quarterback Will Rogers has been their standout performer, completing 74 passes out of 122 attempts for 979 yards at an impressive completion rate of 60.7% while throwing six touchdowns. Jo’Quavious Marks has also excelled on offense, amassing 352 rushing yards while averaging an impressive 5.6 average yards per carry rate, accounting for much of Mississippi State’s offensive success on offense.

Lideatrick Griffin has been Rogers’ go-to target in the receiving game, collecting 20 receptions for 388 yards with 19.4 yards per reception, proving his considerable play potential. Defensively, Georgia Bulldogs have shown some promise; 8 of their last 10 home games saw total scores go under; however, they face a stiff test when facing Alabama’s high-scoring offense.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Against the Spread

When it comes to betting trends, Alabama has a few key statistics that bettors should consider. The total has gone over in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating their ability to put up points. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Mississippi State, showing their dominance in recent matchups.

On the other hand, Mississippi State has struggled when facing Alabama, going 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against the Crimson Tide. Additionally, they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are our picks:

Moneyline: Alabama -600

Alabama has been dominant against Mississippi State, and their high-powered offense led by Jalen Milroe should continue to produce points. We expect Alabama to come out on top.

Spread: Alabama -14.5 (-110)

Given Alabama’s recent success against Mississippi State and their strong offensive performance, they should cover the spread comfortably.

Total: 46.5 over (-110)

Alabama’s ability to put up points, combined with Mississippi State’s tendency to allow higher-scoring games at home, leads us to predict that this game will go over the total.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 35, Mississippi State Bulldogs 21

Overall, the Alabama Crimson Tide are favorites in this matchup for good reason. Their dynamic offense has proven itself against Mississippi State many times before and their scoring power poses a formidable challenge to Mississippi State players. As you consider your picks for this contest, make sure Alabama comes out ahead. When making bets online be sure to visit top betting sites in Canada for updated odds and promotions – good luck and enjoy the game!