Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 10-23-23 MLB NLCS Game 6 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/23/23 – The MLB postseason has officially begun with Arizona Diamondbacks finishing with an 84-78 record facing off against Philadelphia Phillies who posted an impressive 90-72 mark. Phillies lead their NLCS 3-2 while both starting pitchers, Merrill Kelly and Aaron Nola will look to deliver victory in Game 6. If you want to place a bet on this exciting matchup, some of the top betting sites in Canada offer tempting odds on both sides.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date & Time: Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/23/23 Betting Odds

Diamondbacks+163+1.5 (-134)8 over -110
Phillies-178-1.5 (+114)8 under -110

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks have shown remarkable resilience throughout this season despite facing numerous hurdles. On offense, Arizona’s modest batting average may seem inconsequential when considering their power at bat (166 home runs), as evidenced by 746 runs and 1359 hits (including their on-base percentage of.322 combined with their slugging percentage of.408) demonstrates their knack for both getting on base and driving runs home when it matters most.

Arizona has struggled defensively. Their 4.48 earned run average (ERA) is telling, showing their pitchers have often been on the back foot; and their 1.32 WHIP allows opponents easier access to getting on base against Arizona. Their fielding has also been subpar at times compared with more aggressive offensive teams like Philadelphia Phillies.

Arizona’s hopes depend heavily on starting pitcher Merrill Kelly. Kelly has proven his reliability by winning 12-8 with an ERA of 3.29 over 177.2 innings while only permitting 143 hits and 20 homers while striking out 187 batters; these numbers show his capacity for disrupting opposing batters’ rhythm.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

Philadelphia’s superior season record stands as proof of their consistency and tenacity. Offensively, Philadelphia has excelled by boasting a.256 batting average which translates into 796 runs and 1417 hits scored; their formidable lineup managed 220 homers; with an on-base percentage of.327 and slugging percentage of.438 they showcase their ability both get on base consistently as well as make impactful plays.

The Phillies defense has been particularly impressive compared to that of Arizona. A 4.02 ERA suggests their pitchers generally maintain control, and their 1.24 WHIP indicates an efficient approach limiting opponents from reaching base. Their fielders have been superb support, as evidenced by their team-wide batting average of.24; any runs against them must have earned it!

Aaron Nola will be pivotal to the Phillies’ chances as starting pitcher, boasting a 12-9 record. Although his 4.46 ERA may seem concerning, this has been offset by his impressive strikeout totals – 202 strikeouts over 193.2 innings pitched is indicative of Nola’s effectiveness against opponents while his ability to consistently strike out opposition could prove key in Game 6. Additionally, Nola has permitted only 178 hits and 32 homers over such an extensive time span which further demonstrates his adaptability on the mound.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

Arizona enters this game having won 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and showing resilience late in the season. But they’ve struggled against Philadelphia with only two victories out of eight meetings coming against them overall; 3-8 against Philadelphia when playing away games at Philadelphia is especially alarming for Arizona.

Philadelphia has been dominating of late, going 9-3 SU over their last 12 games and an amazing 6-0 at home over that span. Citizens Bank Park is particularly potent; having defeated Arizona 8 times so far!

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies (-178) – Given their recent form, home advantage, and overall superior season record, the Phillies are favored to seal the deal in Game 6.

Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-134) – While the Phillies might win, Arizona is likely to keep it close given the stakes and the form of Merrill Kelly.

Total: 8 over -110 – Given the offensive power of both teams and recent trends, it’s probable that the game will see a combined score over 8 runs.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, Arizona Diamondbacks 4

Conclusion – While both teams have demonstrated both strengths and areas for improvement, the Phillies’ recent form, especially at home, makes them likely winners in this contest. If betting, keeping it close would be the smart move at any reputable Canadian sportsbook.