Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11-4-23 NCAAF Week 10 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11/4/23 – In a week 10 showdown, the Arkansas Razorbacks, currently struggling with a 2-6 record, will face off against the 5-3 Florida Gators. Set to be an intriguing matchup at the Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, both teams are pushing towards improving their respective standings. With bettors actively searching for the NCAAF winning pick, this game promises to be captivating from both a sporting and betting perspective.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators

Date & Time: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium


Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11/4/23 Betting Odds

Arkansas+200+6 (-110)50 over (-110)
Florida -240-6 (-110)50 under (-110)

Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis

Offensively, the Razorbacks are led by quarterback KJ Jefferson, who has showcased potential despite the team’s wavering season. He has thrown for 1547 passing yards and 14 touchdowns with a 65.3% completion rate, indicating his accuracy in delivering the ball under pressure. Rashod Dubinion‘s efforts on the ground, while respectable, leaves room for improvement with an average of 3.3 yards per rush. The receiving corps, with Andrew Armstrong at the forefront boasting 520 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, will need to step up to break down the Gator defense. It’s evident that for the Razorbacks to pose a real threat, they’ll need both their aerial and ground game to fire in tandem.

Defensively, the Razorbacks have faced numerous challenges throughout the season. Their 2-6 record reflects the lapses they’ve had in stopping explosive plays and converting on crucial third downs. The secondary, in particular, has been vulnerable to deep passing plays, which Florida might exploit. To increase their chances against the Gators, Arkansas will need to fortify their defensive line, pressurize the quarterback, and ensure tighter coverage in the secondary, especially against the Gators’ top receivers.

Florida Gators Analysis

The Gators’ offense has been electrifying, largely due to the performance of Graham Mertz. His impressive 75.9% completion rate and 2127 passing yards are a testament to his ability to read defenses and make split-second decisions. Running back Montrell Johnson Jr. complements the passing game brilliantly with an average of 5.5 yards per rush, offering a dual threat that keeps opposing defenses guessing. Ricky Pearsall, the standout receiver with 718 receiving yards, provides Mertz with a reliable target, making the Gators’ aerial assault even more formidable. As they face the Razorbacks, continuity and capitalizing on their multi-pronged offensive assets will be key.

Defensively, the Gators have shown resilience in crucial games, as their 5-3 record suggests. While they’ve managed to stifle many offenses, there’s an underlying need to remain wary of dynamic quarterbacks, such as Jefferson. The defensive line needs to be aggressive, aiming to capitalize on Jefferson’s vulnerability to sacks. The secondary should be prepared for deep threats, given Armstrong’s capability. A blend of aggressive pass rush and disciplined coverage will be pivotal for Florida as they aim to counter Arkansas’s offensive strategies.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Against the Spread

Arkansas’s recent betting trends don’t paint a positive picture. They are 0-6 straight up in their last six games and have struggled historically against Florida with a 2-9 record ATS and 1-10 SU. However, their record on the road is somewhat redeeming, being 5-1 ATS in their last six away games.

Florida’s betting trends have been mixed. They have a 3-6 record ATS in their previous nine games, suggesting they might not always cover the spread. Still, with a 5-0 straight up record in their last five home games and against Arkansas, bettors might find solace in backing the Gators.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Florida -240

Given their strong home performance and Arkansas’s struggles, the Gators seem the more reliable pick.

Spread: Florida -6 (-110

Considering the historical data and recent performance, the Gators should be able to cover this spread.

Total: 50 over (-110)

Both teams have trends favoring the over, and with key offensive players on each side, a higher-scoring game is expected.

Predicted Score: Florida Gators 32, Arkansas Razorbacks 20

In conclusion, while the Razorbacks have shown glimpses of brilliance, the Gators appear better poised to secure a win, especially on their home turf. The spread and moneyline for Florida seem to be the most reliable picks for those keen on sports betting in Canada. It’s always essential, however, for bettors to consider all data and trends before making a decision.