New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots 10-8-23 NFL Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots 10/8/23 – The NFL Week 5 matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the New England Patriots promises to be an intriguing contest. Both teams are eager to improve upon their early season performances and get back on the winning track. The Saints, with a 2-2 record, are looking to continue building on their even slate, while the Patriots at 1-3 are hungry for a win to avoid sinking further below .500. Those looking for winning NFL picks today should take note of the game’s many nuances.

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots

Date & Time: Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Gillette Stadium


New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots 10/8/23 Betting Odds

Saints+105+1.5 (-110)38.5 over (-115)
Patriots-125-1.5 (-110)38.5 under (-105)

New Orleans Saints Analysis

Offensively, the Saints, under the guidance of Derek Carr, have showcased a level of consistency in their passing game. With a 64.5% completion rate amassing 763 yards in four games, Carr demonstrates that he’s more than capable of maintaining possession and executing critical plays. His decision-making has largely been precise, which is evident in his balanced ratio of 2 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. Wide receiver Chris Olave has been a standout, averaging a noteworthy 76.5 yards per game. While he hasn’t found the end zone yet, his route-running and ball-catching abilities make him a serious threat every time he’s on the field. The ground game, however, has been slightly lackluster. Jamaal Williams, with an average of just 2.7 yards per attempt, will need to find more lanes and exploit defensive weaknesses to elevate the Saints’ rushing offense.

Defensively, the Saints will need to up their game. The defense has allowed too many points in previous matches, and with their offense not producing high-scoring games, the onus is on the defense to hold the fort.

New England Patriots Analysis

The Patriots’ offensive framework has shown glimmers of promise. Young quarterback Mac Jones, despite being in the early stages of his NFL journey, has posted a decent completion rate of 63.7%. His 898 passing yards over four games might not be league-leading, but it does indicate a player gaining confidence. The 5:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio suggests a quarterback still refining his game but showing positive signs. The ground assault led by Rhamondre Stevenson, although only amassing 164 yards over four games, provides a balanced offensive approach. Stevenson’s physicality and vision offer potential for growth in the coming games. Kendrick Bourne, in the receiving corps, is proving to be a reliable target. With 175 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, Bourne is someone Jones seems to trust, especially in critical passing situations.

On the defensive end, New England’s track record this season suggests they have vulnerabilities. These need to be addressed if they’re to hold back the Saints’ offensive threats, especially Olave.

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots Against the Spread

The Saints have struggled recently against the spread, going 0-4-1 in their last 5 games. Betting trends also indicate the total has gone UNDER in the Saints’ last 10 games. However, they have an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against New England, which could suggest some matchup advantages.

The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own challenges ATS, with a 1-7 record in their last 8 games. At home, they’ve been even more lackluster, going 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at Gillette Stadium. The trends indicate the total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 games when playing at home against the Saints.

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Saints +105 

Given the recent ATS and head-to-head stats, the Saints have an edge despite their road game.

Spread: Saints +1.5 (-110)

Expect a close game, but the Saints should cover based on their past performances against the Patriots.

Total: 38.5 under (-105)

Both teams have shown they can keep games low-scoring, and the trends strongly favor the UNDER.

Predicted Score: New Orleans Saints 20, New England Patriots 17

For those considering placing a wager on this game, it’s essential to remember that, while stats and trends provide valuable insights, any NFL game can have unexpected outcomes. Choosing the best sportsbook in Canada or any other location will enhance the betting experience and offer better odds. In this matchup, the UNDER seems the most reliable pick, given both teams’ historical performance and the current state of their offenses.