Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 10-6-23 NCAAF Week 6 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 10/6/23 – The NCAA football season marches forward into Week 6, bringing fans and bettors a scintillating matchup between the Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Illinois Fighting Illini. Both teams currently hold identical 2-3 records, but they’ll be battling to break the tie and claim superiority. For those searching for daily NCAAF free picks, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one, as both teams are eager to shift the momentum in their favor.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Date & Time: Friday, October 6 at 8:00 PM ET

Location: Memorial Stadium

TV: FS1

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 10/6/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Nebraska+140+3.5 (-115)43 over (-116)
Illinois-160-3.5 (-105)43 under (-104)

Nebraska Cornhuskers Analysis

The Cornhuskers’ offensive approach is a blend of air and ground tactics, with quarterback Heinrich Haarberg playing a central role. Haarberg, having a 52.8% completion rate, has managed to compile 477 passing yards over the season, indicating a moderate success in the passing game. His 6.6 yard per pass attempt implies a mix of short to medium-range passes. In situations where the passing game encounters resistance, running back Anthony Grant emerges as a crucial player, consistently punching through defensive lines. Grant’s contribution is not just limited to his 224 rushing yards; his 5.1 yards per rush average and 2 touchdowns also reveal his ability to change the game’s dynamics at critical moments.

On the defensive front, the Cornhuskers face some concerns. Their 3-8 straight-up record in their recent outings reflects their struggles to contain opponents. Furthermore, with 8 sacks allowed, their offensive line seems porous, which might be a significant point of exploitation for the Illini. To stand a better chance against Illinois, Nebraska’s defense needs to ramp up, and the offensive line must provide better coverage for Haarberg, ensuring he has ample time and space to execute his plays.

Illinois Fighting Illini Analysis

The Fighting Illini’s offense has shown signs of brilliance, especially with quarterback Luke Altmyer demonstrating a commendable performance. A completion percentage of 65% combined with 1,076 passing yards underscores his pivotal role in their offensive endeavors. However, Altmyer’s 7 interceptions reflect certain hasty decisions that have cost the team. In the running department, Reggie Love III has been a dependable asset. His 248 rushing yards, combined with an average of 5.6 yards per rush, reflect his capability to navigate through tight defenses and gain significant yardage. Additionally, Isaiah Williams stands out in the receiving corps. Although he hasn’t reached the end zone this season, his average of 14.9 yards per reception and a total of 446 receiving yards exhibit his potential to break out for big plays, especially when matched against vulnerable secondaries.

Defensively, the Illini have exhibited areas of concern. The 0-5 ATS record at home is particularly alarming, suggesting their struggles to maintain a stronghold in their territory. This inconsistent defense, especially in critical moments, has often put the team in tight spots. To emerge victorious against the Cornhuskers, Illinois will need to focus on strengthening their defensive line and secondary. Proper anticipation of Nebraska’s offensive plays and capitalizing on potential turnovers will be the key to tilt the game in their favor.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Against the Spread

Recent performances and betting trends show the Cornhuskers struggling, especially with a 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Illini. Their 2-9 straight-up record on the road further demonstrates challenges in away games. On the brighter side, they have a 5-1 ATS against opponents from the West Division, suggesting they could cover in this divisional matchup.

Contrastingly, the Fighting Illini have their challenges as well, especially with a concerning 0-6 ATS in their recent games. Their home record is particularly worrying, going 0-5 ATS, indicating potential struggles when defending their turf. However, their 6-2 SU record against the West Division opponents offers a glimmer of hope.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Illinois 160

Their offensive firepower gives them a slight edge, especially at home.

Spread: Nebraska +3.5 (-115)

Given Nebraska’s recent ATS trends against West Division opponents and Illinois’ struggles at home, it’s feasible the Cornhuskers could cover.

Total: 43 under (-104)

Considering both teams’ UNDER trends, a lower-scoring game seems plausible.

Predicted Score: Illinois Fighting Illini 21, Nebraska Cornhuskers 20

In wrapping up, while the Fighting Illini have a slight advantage on paper, betting enthusiasts should approach with caution, especially considering the ATS trends. Those looking to place their bets might consider checking out online sportsbooks in Canada, ensuring they secure the best odds and insights for this Big Ten showdown.