Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills 10-8-23 NFL Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills 10/8/23 – In an intriguing matchup coming up this weekend, the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) are set to face off against the formidable Buffalo Bills (3-1). This game, which has already captured the attention of fans and analysts alike, offers an array of expert football free picks based on the teams’ performance thus far in the season.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 9:30 AM ET

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds

Jaguars+195+5.5 (-110)48 over (-105)
Bills-225 -5.5 (-110)48 under (-115)

Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis

The Jaguars, under the leadership of their young quarterback Trevor Lawrence, are showcasing what the future might hold for them. Lawrence, a rookie sensation, is living up to his pre-draft hype. With a 67.1% completion rate and nearly 1000 passing yards in just four games, he’s exemplifying the characteristics of a leader and game-changer. His growing rapport with Christian Kirk is starting to pay dividends. Kirk, targeted 35 times so far, has become Lawrence’s go-to man, especially in high-pressure situations. Together, they are constructing a potent passing attack that can challenge defenses.

On the ground, Travis Etienne Jr. has steadily carved out a significant role for himself. Averaging 3.8 yards per rush, he isn’t just a player to give the passing game a breather; he’s a genuine threat that opposition defenses must plan for. His ability to break out big runs, as evidenced by his longest rush of 26 yards, means he can change the complexion of a game in a single play.

Defensively, the Jaguars are a work in progress. Lawrence’s 8 sacks and 34 sack yards lost indicate vulnerabilities in the offensive line. It’s crucial for the team to improve in this area, particularly against a high-pressure defense like the Bills’. The secondary, while competent, will be tested against a quarterback of Allen’s caliber. For the Jaguars to emerge triumphant, they will need to present a balanced offensive approach while making significant strides on the defensive end.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Led by the dynamic Josh Allen, the Bills have one of the most electrifying offenses in the league. Allen, with his 74.8% completion rate, isn’t just throwing the ball; he’s making precise decisions, choosing the right receiver at the right time, and showcasing his arm strength with passes that have peaked at 55 yards. Stefon Diggs, Allen’s primary target, is a testament to this synergy. With 399 receiving yards, Diggs is continually finding pockets in opposition defenses and making big plays.

James Cook, while not as flashy as the passing game, offers a robust rushing option that complements the Bills’ aerial attack. Averaging 5.3 yards per carry, Cook can wear down defenses, making them more susceptible to the deep ball. His consistency and ability to gain critical first downs make him an invaluable asset.

Defensively, the Bills have some points of concern. Allowing Allen to be sacked 9 times in four games raises questions about the offensive line’s ability to protect their star quarterback. Against a Jaguars side that will be hungry for quarterback pressures and sacks, this could be an area of vulnerability. The Bills’ secondary and linebackers will also need to be on their toes, especially considering the evolving chemistry between Lawrence and Kirk. Adjustments and anticipatory plays will be the key if the Bills are to hold off the Jaguars’ offensive advances.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

Jacksonville’s recent performance shows a team that’s both resilient and robust against the spread. They’re 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, and more notably, they’ve been 5-0 ATS on the road. Their offensive and defensive dynamics, even with some weaknesses, show a side that’s capable of covering.

On the other hand, Buffalo, while dominant at home (14-2 SU in their last 16 home games), presents a slightly unpredictable ATS trend. Their games against Jacksonville have consistently gone over the total, implying that high-scoring games are in the offing.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -225

While Jacksonville has shown promise, the Bills’ offensive prowess spearheaded by Allen makes them favorites.

Spread: Jaguars +5.5 (-110)

Given the Jaguars’ ATS history and their potential to keep games close, taking them with the points seems a prudent choice.

Total: 48 over (-105)

Both teams have trends suggesting high-scoring affairs, especially when playing against each other.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 28, Jacksonville Jaguars 24

In conclusion, while the Buffalo Bills seem poised for victory, the Jacksonville Jaguars are likely to ensure it’s a closely contested match. For those engaged in top sports betting in Canada, the spread and the total might offer the most enticing opportunities.