AS Roma vs AC Milan 4-29-23 Serie A Soccer Best Bets, Odds and Prediction

AS Roma vs AC Milan 4/29/23 – On Saturday at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, AS Roma 17-5-9 are taking on AC Milan 16-8-7. Rui Patricio from AS Roma and Mike Maignan from AC Milan serve as goaltenders. Last season, AC Milan defeated AS Roma 3-1 at home and 2-1 away. However, AS Roma are the favorites to win here as per the recent Serie A betting trends.

AS Roma vs AC Milan 

Date & Time: Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Stadio Olimpico Roma, Italy

TV: Paramount +

AS Roma vs AC Milan 4/29/23 Betting Odds

AS Roma

Moneyline: +142

Spread: -0.25 (+108)

Total: 2.5 over (+102)

AC Milan

Moneyline: +198

Spread: +0.25 (-131)

Total: 2.5 under (-125)

AS Roma vs AC Milan Analysis

AS Roma ranks fourth for expected goals with 47.4, and their expected goals against are 23.8. The team has allowed 26 goals while conceding 0.87 per 90 min, and opponents have recorded 92 SOT against them. This team has amassed an impressive 16 goal differential by scoring 42 and conceding 26. They also managed 13 clean sheets during the season for an overall clean sheet percentage of 43.3. AS Roma currently sits with 66 saves at an impressive save rate of 73.9 this season. They have earned 63 yellow card warnings and 3 red cards – an average of 1.87 points per match so far while ranking ninth in Serie A with 29 assists. Rui Patricio will lead AS Roma’s defense. Boasting 179 clean sheets – good enough to achieve an outstanding 38.2% shutout percentage – the Portuguese goalkeeper has seen 1,629 shots at him over 469 starting assignments. Patricio has posted an outstanding goals-against per 90 minute average and earned a save percentage of 0.736, playing 42,144 minutes over his career with 1,199 total stops recorded so far. Paulo Dybala is a force for AS Roma, totalling 53 assists and 22 yellow card cautions during his career. Argentina-born forward Paulo Dybala boasts 104 goals scored over 20,098 minutes of action. 

At this point in the season, the AC Milan boast an overall save rate of 69.7 and rank fourth overall with 56 points; their fixtures typically average 1.8 points while recording 39 assists and 2 red cards. AC Milan have scored 51 goals this year and have an expected goal total of 47.8. In terms of clean sheets percentage, they boast 32.3 as a mark against them compared with 81 yellow cards issued. AC Milan boasts an average goals against per 90 minutes score of 1.19 with 72 saves recorded and 10 clean sheets to their name. They rank sixth for goals surrendered with 37 conceded while their goal difference stands at 14. Mike Maignan will be keeping goal for AC Milan. His record as goalkeeper stands at 82-36-43, having allowed only 0.99 goals per 90 and boasting 63 clean sheets over 14,597 career minutes of service. Maignan’s professional career to date includes conceding 161 goals while collecting 410 saves across 162 starting assignments, giving him an overall save percentage of 0.743% and maintaining an impressive clean sheet rate of 38.9%. Rafael Leao of AC Milan has become an intimidating threat on defenses with an average goal per 90-minute game since starting 73 contests during his career.

AS Roma vs AC Milan Against the Spread

AS Roma are 4-0 in their last 5 games. AS Roma are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread AS Roma are 10-6 in their road games against the spread. The totals have gone OVER in 2 of AS Roma’ last 5 games. The totals have gone OVER in 5 of AS Roma’ 15 last games at home.

AC Milan are 3-0 in their last 5 games. AC Milan are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread. AC Milan are 7-9 in their road games against the spread. The totals have gone OVER in 2 of AC Milan’ last 5 games. The totals have gone OVER in 7 of AC Milan’ 15 last games at home.

AS Roma vs AC Milan Free Pick

At home, AS Roma have won 12 times and drawn 10 times while AC Milan have won 10. Their goal difference stands at 42-36 in favor of AS Roma. In the 9 most recent home matches of Serie A, AS Roma have been undefeated 8 times. According to the Serie A betting analysts, AS Roma will be winning at home confidently.

Free Pick: AS Roma -0.25 (+108)