Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, June 5, 2024

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox – The upcoming MLB showdown between the Atlanta Braves (32-24) and the Boston Red Sox (30-29) at Fenway Park promises to be an exciting mid-week battle. The Braves, despite a slightly better record, face off against a Red Sox team that holds a competitive edge at home. The pitching matchup features Braves’ starter Spencer Schwellenbach, struggling early in his career, against Boston’s more seasoned Nick Pivetta. This game is a must-watch for fans and bettors alike, offering valuable insights for daily MLB free picks.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox

Date & Time: Wednesday, June 5, 2024, at 1:35 PM ET

Location: Fenway Park


Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds


Atlanta Braves Analysis

The team average of the Braves has been .249 followed by the decent touches of 57 home runs and a .405 slugging. Its offense is not the most skilled, but it is steady enough to pronounce the team as one of the contenders for the league’s top positions within its division. The team’s key players have come through with big hits, and, because they work the count (.315 OBP), they are given ample opportunity to do so.

Defensively, the Braves have remained stable on the pitching aspect looking at the overall 3.44 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. As in the case of their overall road record, the Magic are at 13-13 against the spread and while they are decent on this front it is often games that are effectively pitched that often makes the difference. But they still remain volatile in their bullpen where they have been able to concede vital points in closely contested matches.

The starting pitcher for the Braves, Spencer Schwellenbach has struggled somewhat at the beginning of his MLB tenure, has an ERA of 5.4 and WHIP of 1.2 and has only pitched 5 innings. Looking at his early records, one could fail to anticipate how he could face a team of such pedigree as the Boston Red Sox, he needs to work much harder on his control and temperance when on the baseball mound.

Boston Red Sox Analysis

Officially the Red Sox is in danger with only .242 batting average, though they have scored more totals and homeruns than the Braves this season. Their essence was an aggressive line-up led by the principal beaters of offenses and they looked terrifying for a while when they posted a positive attack rate of a .401 slugging percentage. Overally, the competitive record of the team has been considerably boosted by the strong finishing by players who have converted their hit zones into scoring zones.

Boston has a slightly better pitching staff that has an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.16 this shows that the pitchers have better control and are allowing few hits per innings as compared to Atlanta. Specifically, in Fenway they have had an impressive performance which has seen the team go 17-13 when it comes to the games played outside their home ground with regards to the spread line.

The Red Sox hoping the same from Nick Pivetta who is scheduled to be the starting pitcher has a better experience and a comparatively reasonable working performance with a 4.08 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over 35.1 innings. His rate of Ks (42) while keeping a tab on the number of walks (7) is well suited to avoid giving cheap runs to the best structure for scoring from walks – the Braves.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Against the Spread

The Braves have shown some inconsistency lately, going 2-3 in their last 5 games both outright and against the spread. Their performance on the road has been unpredictable, which could be a concern in the hostile environment of Fenway Park.

Conversely, the Red Sox have fared better recently, with a 3-2 record in their last 5 games, both outright and against the spread. Their ability to perform well at home and exploit the Braves’ pitching vulnerabilities might give them the upper hand in this matchup.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Based on trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Boston Red Sox. The combination of home field advantage and Pivetta’s solid pitching form gives Boston the edge.

Spread: Red Sox to cover the spread, given their recent form and stronger defensive metrics.

Total: Over. Both teams have tendencies to score and allow runs, particularly with the Braves’ shaky bullpen and the Red Sox’s aggressive batting.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5, Atlanta Braves 3

Final thoughts: Betting on the Red Sox to win at Fenway appears to be the most reliable pick for this matchup. Both teams have powerful offenses, but Boston’s pitching might just tip the scales in their favor. For bettors looking for sound advice, Canadian top betting websites also echo this sentiment, highlighting the Red Sox’s recent form and historical performance at home.