Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10-1-23 NFL Week 4 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10/1/23 – As the NFL season progresses, Week 4 brings a captivating matchup across the pond as the Atlanta Falcons face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams are eager to stamp their mark on this unique international stage, making it a must-watch for avid football followers. With each squad eyeing victory, bettors are scouring data to make their best NFL Week 4 betting picks.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Date & Time: Sunday, October 1, 2023, at 9:30 PM ET

Location: Wembley Stadium


Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10/1/23 Betting Odds

Atlanta Falcons+166+4 (-106)45.5 over (-115)
Jacksonville Jaguars-194-4 (-108)45.5 under (-108)

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

Offensively, Desmond Ridder has emerged as a reliable quarterback for the Falcons. Boasting a commendable 68% completion rate in two games, he’s accumulated 352 passing yards. This output, combined with Bijan Robinson’s dynamism on the ground – 180 rushing yards in two games, averaging a robust 6.2 yards per rush – establishes a balanced attack for Atlanta. Mack Hollins, although not spectacular, has been steady in the receiving corps, providing Ridder a reliable target, especially for crucial conversions.

Defensively, the Falcons’ recent track record suggests some concerns. Considering their struggles, especially on the road with a 0-6 SU in their last 6 games away from home, Atlanta needs to bolster their defense. The linemen will be tasked with pressurizing Trevor Lawrence and stopping Travis Etienne Jr.’s advances, ensuring Jacksonville’s key playmakers are kept at bay.

Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis

The Jaguars’ offense revolves around the promise shown by Trevor Lawrence. With 457 passing yards in two games and a 63% completion rate, Lawrence’s potential as the franchise’s future is undeniable. Aiding him is Travis Etienne Jr., who, despite modest numbers, has shown sparks of brilliance on the ground. Furthermore, Calvin Ridley, previously with Atlanta, has already made his presence felt in Jacksonville, averaging 66.5 receiving yards per game with a touchdown to boot.

On the defensive front, Jacksonville will be focusing on neutralizing the threat posed by Ridder and Robinson. The Jaguars have been formidable at home, boasting a 5-0 SU in their last 5 games. Their secondary needs to stay alert to limit big gains from the Falcons’ receivers, while their front seven must contain the run, forcing Atlanta into long-yardage situations.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Against the Spread

Atlanta’s recent betting profile paints a picture of inconsistency. While they have struggled with a 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, they present an intriguing anomaly when it comes to facing the Jaguars. Their stellar 6-0 ATS record in their last six meetings against Jacksonville becomes a primary point of focus for spread bettors. This suggests that despite recent overall challenges, the Falcons historically match up well against the Jaguars, keeping games closer than anticipated.

Jacksonville’s recent ATS trends are impressive. With a strong 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, they seem to be a favorable pick for many. Their home record further substantiates this, as they’ve maintained a 5-0 SU in their last five games played in their den. However, a red flag is their 1-19 SU record against NFC teams. This points to potential vulnerabilities when facing unfamiliar opponents from the opposing conference, even with their ATS prowess in recent games.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Jaguars -194

Given their recent form, especially at home, the Jaguars seem poised for a win.

Spread: Falcons +4 (-106)

Despite Jacksonville’s edge, Atlanta’s recent ATS record against the Jaguars suggests they can cover.

Total: 45.5 under (-108)

Both teams have a history leaning towards the UNDER, suggesting a possibly low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Atlanta Falcons 21

In conclusion, this overseas encounter at the iconic Wembley Stadium promises to be a thrilling spectacle. While Jacksonville seems poised for victory, betting aficionados, especially those engaged in sports betting in Canada, should consider Atlanta’s ATS prowess against the Jaguars. Regardless of the outcome, fans and bettors alike are set for an exhilarating NFL experience.