Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-22-23 NFL Week 7 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/22/23 – The excitement for NFL Week 7 is palpable as the Atlanta Falcons (3-3) prepare to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) in a pivotal matchup that promises to be a riveting showdown. With both teams jostling for a solid footing in their division, the stakes are high. For those seeking NFL free picks today, this is one game that offers numerous insights and opportunities.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date & Time: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Raymond James Stadium


Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/22/23 Betting Odds

Falcons-101+1.5 (-116)41.5 over (-103)
Buccaneers -119-1.5 (-106)41.5 under (-119)

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

Offensively, the Atlanta Falcons have showcased potential under the leadership of Desmond Ridder. Through six games, Ridder has thrown for 1380 yards with a respectable completion percentage of 64. Though he has thrown 6 touchdowns, his 6 interceptions highlight the need for more consistent decision-making. In the run game, Bijan Robinson has been a force, averaging 66.8 yards per game and contributing significantly to the Falcons’ ground attack. Drake London, with his 329 receiving yards, has proven to be a reliable target for Ridder.

Defensively, the Falcons have shown vulnerabilities in recent matchups, evident from their record against Tampa Bay. These weak spots, combined with recent performances, will need tightening if they hope to triumph against the formidable Buccaneers’ offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, under Baker Mayfield, have exhibited strong offensive outings. Mayfield, in 5 games, has accrued 1088 passing yards with a slightly higher completion rate of 65.4% compared to his counterpart Ridder. He’s also been efficient, with 7 touchdowns against only 3 interceptions. Rachaad White’s contributions in the run game cannot be ignored, even if they might seem modest compared to Robinson. Mike Evans, however, stands out in the receiving department, amassing an impressive 386 yards and 3 touchdowns over the five games he’s played.

On the defensive end, the Buccaneers must capitalize on Ridder’s propensity to throw interceptions. While their overall stats might seem balanced, their recent record against NFC teams suggests room for improvement, especially when coming up against a team with a back like Robinson.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Against the Spread

The Atlanta Falcons’ recent betting trends do not inspire confidence, with them being 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Their recent record, both SU and ATS against Tampa Bay, leaves much to be desired, adding to the trepidation of backing them in this matchup. On the road, while the total has consistently gone UNDER for Atlanta, an OVER has been observed when they play in Tampa Bay.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, despite their slightly better season record, haven’t fared well in the betting world either. They are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games. At home, they have a dismal 2-5 ATS record in the last 7 games. However, the total has predominantly gone OVER when they face Atlanta at home, which can be a noteworthy trend for total bettors.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Buccaneers -119 

Considering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers slight edge in recent performances and home advantage, they seem to be the safer bet.

Spread: Buccaneers -1.5 (-106)

Given the Atlanta Falcons’ recent ATS record, especially against the Buccaneers, the latter covering the spread seems plausible.

Total: 41.5 over (-103)

Historically, when these two teams clash in Tampa Bay, the total tends to go OVER, making this a solid pick.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Atlanta Falcons 20

In conclusion, while both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, the Buccaneers seem to hold a slight advantage, especially at home. For those betting enthusiasts seeking the most reliable pick, the Buccaneers’ Moneyline seems a safe bet. And for our Canadian top live betting fans, keeping a keen eye on in-game odds, especially if the Buccaneers get an early lead, might be a fruitful strategy.