Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs 09-22-23 NCAAF Analysis, Prediction, and Odds

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs 09/22/23 – As we approach the midpoint of the NCAAF season, the Boise State Broncos (1-2) and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) are looking to add another W to their record. The Broncos will travel to Snapdragon Stadium to take on the Aztecs in what promises to be an electrifying match-up. For those interested in college football picks today, this game offers a plethora of betting opportunities.

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Date & Time: Thursday, September 22, 2023, at 10:30 PM ET  

Location: Snapdragon Stadium  


Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs 09/22/23 Betting Odds

Boise State-250-7 (-103)45.5 over (-110)
San Diego State+210+7 (-117)45.5 under (-110)

Boise State Broncos Analysis

Boise State’s offense, led by QB Taylen Green, has been a mix of highs and lows this season. With a completion rate of 52.9% and 576 passing yards, Green has shown flashes of potential. However, his 4 interceptions indicate room for improvement. Ashton Jeanty, their primary running back, is someone to watch, averaging 4 yards per attempt with 202 rushing yards. Receiver Eric McAlister adds depth to the offense with 238 receiving yards, averaging an impressive 15.9 yards per reception.

Defensively, the Broncos will need to be sharp against the Aztecs. While specific defensive statistics are not available, it’s worth noting that Boise State has a strong track record against opponents in the Mountain West conference, boasting an 8-1 SU in their last 9 games. Nonetheless, they have struggled on the road recently, so tightening their defense will be essential for victory.

San Diego State Aztecs Analysis

On the other side, San Diego State’s offense, helmed by QB Jalen Mayden, has been somewhat inconsistent. Mayden has a completion rate of 60.3% and has thrown for 701 yards. Jaylon Armstead, the Aztecs’ go-to running back, has been promising with an average of 5.1 yards per rush. Mekhi Shaw, their leading receiver, provides additional offensive support with 104 receiving yards.

When it comes to defense, San Diego State needs to improve to turn their fortunes around. They are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games, which suggests that their defensive unit has room for improvement, particularly against a capable Boise State offense. Home advantage could be crucial as the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Aztecs’ last 9 home games, indicating strong defensive performances at home.

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Against the Spread

Boise State’s record is a bit of a mixed bag. Their overall standing at 9-4 SU in their last 13 games showcases their ability to secure wins, but a closer look at their recent matchups with San Diego State reveals they’ve struggled, posting a 2-6 ATS. The betting trends also note that Boise State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 encounters against the Aztecs, which could be a cause for concern. However, they have shown a better face against teams from the West Division, boasting a 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. This divisional performance might indicate their better adaptability against similar offensive and defensive schemes, perhaps providing them an edge in this contest.

On the flip side, San Diego State’s ATS record also has its highs and lows. They are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, indicating a lack of consistency in beating the spread. However, their 6-3 ATS against teams in the Mountain Division gives some hope for bettors who are eyeing the Aztecs to cover. The team’s home performance adds another layer to this narrative as their defense usually steps up at Snapdragon Stadium, where the total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games. The robust defensive showings at home might be a key factor that could affect the spread in their favor.

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Free Pick

Here are our recommended picks for this clash:

Moneyline: Boise State -250

Our pick would be Boise State at -250. Despite the high odds, they’ve been dominant against opponents in the Mountain West conference and look to be the stronger team overall.

Spread: Boise State -7 (-103)

We are leaning towards the Broncos covering the spread of -7. Their offensive capabilities, led by Ashton Jeanty, seem capable of putting points on the board.

Total: 45.5 under (-110)

We recommend the UNDER 45.5. Both teams have shown strong defensive plays in the past, especially San Diego State when playing at home.

Predicted Score: Boise State 24, San Diego State 17

Both teams have their pros and cons, Boise State appears to be the safer bet here. Their offensive depth and proven track record make them the frontrunners in this contest. For those looking for the best sportsbook in Canada, this game offers a variety of betting opportunities you won’t want to miss.