Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders 09-24-23 NFL Week 3 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders 09/24/23 – Buffalo Bills (1-1) will face Washington Commanders (2-0). This Week 3 match-up is set to take place at FedExField on Sunday September 24th at 1:00PM ET and be broadcast by CBS. As fans anticipate this thrilling clash, Sportsbook Canada has also prepared alluring betting opportunities.

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders

Date & Time: Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: FedExField


Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders Betting Odds

Bills-290-6.5 (-114)43.5 over -110
Commanders+245+6.5 (-106)43.5 under -110

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Offensively, Buffalo Bills are led by quarterback Josh Allen‘s impressive numbers: 511 passing yards in two games at an impressive 76.9% completion rate; James Cook contributed 169 rushing yards per attempt and 5.8 yards per attempt average; Stefon Diggs has provided additional offensive punch with his 168 receiving yards and one touchdown to fuel their success on offense.

On defense, Buffalo has demonstrated some solid play but can improve in certain areas. Their primary concern will be slowing Washington’s rising running game led by Brian Robinson Jr. Though their defense has had its moments of brilliance against an offense that offers multiple scoring avenues; keeping turnovers to a minimum and keeping their opponent under control will be essential if they want to secure victory against Washington.

Washington Commanders Analysis

Sam Howell of the Washington Commanders has already amassed 513 yards and three touchdowns through their opening two games this season, though his numbers may be lower than Allen’s. On the ground Brian Robinson Jr has managed 146 rushing yards with two touchdowns as an effective second option when their team has possession. Their receiving corps, while not as statistically dominant as Buffalo’s has also made significant contributions; particularly Terry McLaurin.

On defense, Washington must make significant strides if they want to have any hope against Buffalo. Their last seven game stats reveal their lack of depth when it comes to beating the spread, showing gaps in their defense. Washington must step up its pass defense to limit Allen and his talented receivers as well as provide enough coverage against Cook given his prolific yards-per-attempt count.

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders Against the Spread

Buffalo Bills have an outstanding track record when it comes to betting against the spread, particularly against Washington. Boasting an 8-1 ATS record in their last nine meetings against Washington Commanders, they clearly had the upper hand in this matchup and went 9-2 SU over their last 11 contests, further supporting their advantage. Notable also are high-scoring contests featuring Buffalo – with overs in five out of seven of their recent matches totalling 51 points or higher; led by Josh Allen on offense who proved capable enough of covering spreads due to Washington’s less-than stellar defensive numbers over recent contests.

Washington’s ATS record leaves much to be desired. They are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, an indication of their ineffectiveness at covering spreads effectively. Even though 12 of 17 outings had an under-total scoreline (total went under in 12 of 17 outings), Washington may struggle against Buffalo to cover spreads effectively despite having slightly better ATS record against AFC opponents overall (5-2 against spread in last 7 matches against conference), which puts them in an uncertain situation heading into this matchup.

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders Free Pick

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-290). Buffalo’s balanced attack on both sides of the ball makes them the safer moneyline pick.

Spread: Buffalo Bills -6.5 (-114). Given their solid track record against Washington, it’s likely that Buffalo will cover the spread.

Total: Over 43.5 (-110). With both teams having potent offenses, the over seems to be the more logical choice.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 28, Washington Commanders 17

As is evident by their initial matchup last season, Buffalo and Washington will meet in Week 3 to play out an intriguing battle that pits Buffalo’s well-rounded and powerful offense against Washington’s scruffy yet unpredictable defense. The Bills come into this matchup boasting an impressive record both straight-up and against the spread, particularly against Washington. On the other hand, while undefeated this season, the Commanders have shown some vulnerability in their defensive setup and against the spread. Given all the relevant factors – recent performances, key player statistics, and betting trends – our NFL football picks lean toward a Buffalo victory both straight-up and against the spread. It should make for a fascinating, high-stakes battle!