Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs 09-30-23 NCAAF Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs 09/30/23 – As Week 5 of the NCAAF season approaches, two teams with vastly contrasting strengths and ambitions square off. The Charlotte 49ers, with a less than stellar start to the season at 1-3, look to find their footing against the SMU Mustangs, a team that has showcased a 50-50 start with a 2-2 record. With both teams eager to prove themselves and rise in the rankings, this game promises to be more intense than the statistics suggest. For those looking to find the latest NCAAF picks, this game certainly presents some intriguing options.

Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs

Date & Time: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium


Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs 09/30/23 Betting Odds

Charlotte 49ers+750+23.5 (-105)39.5 over (-105)
SMU Mustangs-2000-23.5 (-115)39.5 under (-110)

Charlotte 49ers Analysis

The Charlotte 49ers have faced a rocky start to the season, with just one victory in their first four games. Quarterback Jalon Jones has been a key figure in their offensive efforts, boasting a 61.4% completion rate. While his numbers are respectable, the team has struggled to consistently convert promising drives into points. The connection between Jones and wide receiver Jack Hestera has been a bright spot, with Hestera averaging an impressive 13.5 yards per reception. However, the 49ers’ running game, led by Rodney Hammond Jr., has been inconsistent, with just one rushing touchdown to show for their efforts. To have a chance against the Mustangs, Charlotte’s offense needs to find more consistency and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Defensively, the 49ers have faced challenges in containing their opponents. Vulnerabilities have been exposed, leading to opponents consistently finding ways to put points on the board. To compete with the high-powered SMU offense, Charlotte’s defense must step up, tighten coverage, and put pressure on the opposing quarterback. Creating turnovers and limiting big plays will be essential for the 49ers to keep the game competitive.

SMU Mustangs Analysis

The SMU Mustangs have showcased their offensive prowess this season, led by quarterback Preston Stone. Stone has posted impressive numbers with a 58.4% completion rate and 1,056 passing yards. His ability to make deep passes, often finding Jordan Hudson downfield (averaging 19.9 yards per reception), has made the Mustangs a formidable force. While their ground game isn’t their strongest asset, running back Jaylan Knighton adds depth to their offensive strategy. The Mustangs’ offense can be unpredictable and explosive, capable of putting up points in a hurry.

Defensively, SMU has displayed resilience, particularly when playing at home. Their record of 5-1 SU in their last six home games highlights their ability to dominate in their home stadium. The challenge for the Mustangs’ defense will be to maintain their strong performance, anticipate the 49ers’ offensive tactics, and consistently apply pressure on Charlotte’s offensive lineup. Stifling their opponents and forcing turnovers will be key to securing victory and improving their season record.

Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs Against the Spread

Charlotte’s recent history in ATS doesn’t paint the brightest picture. With a 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, it’s evident that they have struggled to outpace the expectations set by oddsmakers. Their history against Virginia Tech doesn’t provide much solace either, standing at 8-1.

On the other hand, SMU has a respectable 5-0 ATS in recent games, showing they often outperform the spread. This, combined with their strong home performance and history against Conference USA teams, puts them in a favorable light for this matchup.

Charlotte 49ers vs. SMU Mustangs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: SMU -2000 

The SMU Mustangs superior performance, especially at home, gives them the edge.

Spread: SMU -23.5 (-115) 

Given the SMU Mustangs current form and Charlotte’s struggles, it’s feasible SMU will cover the spread.

Total: 39.5 under (-110)

Both teams’ recent games have trended towards lower total scores, making the under a logical pick.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 28, Charlotte 49ers 6

In conclusion, this matchup promises to be one of strategy, resilience, and pure football action. While the Mustangs seem to have the upper hand, the unpredictable nature of the sport means anything is possible. For those seeking to venture beyond the world of NCAAF and explore Canadian sports betting options, be sure to conduct thorough research before making any decisions.