Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Week 14 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 10, 2023

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Week 14 – The 6-6 Denver Broncos will face off against the 5-7 Los Angeles Chargers this Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET in Week 14 of the NFL season. The Chargers are 3.5-point favorites playing at home in SoFi Stadium. This AFC West rivalry game has major playoff implications for both teams still in contention. When betting this matchup, trends point to the under and the Broncos against the spread for the football betting picks.

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date & Time: Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET

Location: SoFi Stadium


Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Week 14 Betting Odds

Broncos+130+3.5 (-127)45.5 over -111
Chargers-150-3.5 (+103)45.5 under -111

Denver Broncos Analysis

The Broncos’ offense has performed decently this season behind newly acquired veteran QB Russell Wilson. He has thrown for 2,385 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. His top weapon, WR Courtland Sutton, has 50 receptions for 637 yards and 9 touchdowns. The run game has struggled with lead back Javonte Williams out for the season, rushing by committee for only 3.8 yards per carry.

Defensively, Denver has stars like CB Patrick Surtain II shutting down opposing receivers. Surtain has allowed just a 54.7 passer rating when targeted this season. The defense allows just 17.3 points per game, ranking 5th best in the NFL. Bradley Chubb and Baron Browning provide pass rushing punch with 5.5 sacks apiece. Their weakness is defending the run, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Slowing down Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler is key. Linebackers Josey Jewell and Alex Singleton must limit Ekeler’s catches out of the backfield.

Los Angeles Chargers Analysis

Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert is having another prolific season with 3,038 yards passing, 20 touchdowns and 6 picks. His favorite target Keenan Allen has a whopping 102 catches for 1,175 yards and 7 touchdowns. Ekeler leads LA’s rushing attack with 446 yards and 4 scores.

The Chargers have struggled defensively, ranking 28th in points allowed per game (24.7). They’ve been inconsistent stopping both the run and pass. Los Angeles gives up chunk plays too easily at times if the pass rush doesn’t get home. Edge rusher Khalil Mack has helped enormously with 6 sacks in just 8 games. But Joey Bosa being out for the season hampers their pressure. The secondary also has weaknesses at linebacker and safety in coverage.

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Against the Spread

The Broncos are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games. They’ve also gone under the total in 6 of 7, with defenses controlling play. Denver is 5-1 straight up in their last 6, presenting betting value as underdogs with the spread and moneyline. They are 13-6 all-time straight up against the Chargers.

On the flip side, the total has gone under in 9 of the Chargers’ last 10 games. Their home games in particular have fallen under 4 of the last 5. LA is just 1-4 straight up against the AFC West this season. However, they are 8-3-1 ATS over their last 12 games in December.

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, the picks are as follows:

Moneyline: Broncos +130 

They are undervalued as dogs with the hot 5-1 SU record. Wilson & receivers can exploit a vulnerable Chargers pass defense.

Spread: Broncos +3.5 (-127)

The Broncos have historically played LA tough, covering in 4 of the last 6 matchups. Getting over a field goal is nice value.

Total: 45.5 under -111

Both defenses have been sharp recently holding opponents under 20 points often. Expect a low-scoring grind it out type game.

Predicted Score: Denver Broncos 24, Los Angeles Chargers 21

While the money and spread lean Denver, the Chargers eke out a close win at home. Ride their underrated December success and Ekeler running wild for the upset win. Check the best sportsbook in Canada for odds on this and all Week 14 NFL games before betting this exciting matchup.