Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10-20-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/20/23 – With the NLCS in full swing, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare for an intense Game 4 clash at Chase Field this Friday evening. With the Phillies currently leading the series 2-1, both teams recognize the importance of the upcoming matchup. While Philadelphia looks to capitalize on their advantage, Arizona remains hopeful of leveling the series on their home turf. Taking center stage on the mound are Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies and Joe Mantiply for the Diamondbacks, promising an interesting pitching duel for MLB picks and prediction enthusiasts.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Date & Time: Friday, October 20, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET

Location: Chase Field


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/20/23 Betting Odds

Phillies-124-1.5 (+125)9.5 over (-105)
Diamondbacks +114+1.5 (-145)9.5 under (-115)

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies, boasting a batting average of 0.256, have showcased their offensive prowess with 796 runs and 220 homers this season. Their on-base percentage of 0.327 and slugging percentage of 0.438 are indicators of their consistent ability to place runners in scoring positions and deliver with power when needed.

On the defensive end, Philadelphia has maintained a respectable 4.02 ERA and a WHIP of 1.24. Their pitchers have kept opponents at bay with a .240 batting average, while the defense has provided adequate support in tight situations.

Cristopher Sanchez, their Game 4 starter, carries a season record of 3-5 with an impressive 3.44 ERA over 99.1 innings. His WHIP stands at a commendable 1.05, and with 96 strikeouts against 88 hits, Sanchez will undoubtedly be a key player in this critical contest.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

Arizona’s bats, with a season batting average of 0.250, have been responsible for 746 runs and 166 home runs. Although slightly trailing the Phillies in terms of offensive numbers, their OBP of 0.322 and slugging percentage of 0.408 demonstrate their capability to compete at the highest level.

Defensively, the Diamondbacks have faced challenges, recording a higher ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.32. Their pitchers, however, have managed to strike out 1351 batters, showcasing their ability to make key plays when needed.

Joe Mantiply, their chosen starting pitcher for Game 4, has a limited track record this season. With just 3 innings pitched and a high ERA of 9, Mantiply’s inclusion might seem like a gamble. However, the Diamondbacks might be betting on the element of surprise to catch the Phillies off guard.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Against the Spread

The Phillies have had a strong recent run, with the total going OVER in 4 of their last 6 games and an 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Notably, they’ve maintained a dominant stance against the Diamondbacks, recording 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against them. However, their road record against Arizona shows vulnerability, with a 6-14 SU when playing at Chase Field.

On the other hand, Arizona has been consistent lately, with a 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. Interestingly, they’ve shown dominance at home against the Phillies, boasting a 14-6 SU in their last 20 home matchups. With the total going OVER in 13 of their last 20 games against Philadelphia, we might be in for a high-scoring game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Phillies -124

Given the Phillies’ recent form and superior overall stats, they appear as the more favorable pick.

Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145) 

With Arizona’s strong home record against the Phillies, taking them with the points seems the prudent choice.

Total: 9.5 over (-105)

Considering the recent high-scoring trends between these teams, the over seems plausible.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6, Arizona Diamondbacks 5

Concluding, while both teams offer solid value in various betting aspects, the Phillies, with their slight edge in overall stats and current form, seem poised for success. However, with Arizona’s strong home record against Philadelphia, there might be surprises in store. For those involved in sports betting in Canada, this matchup offers intriguing possibilities, with the Phillies on the Moneyline appearing as the most reliable pick.