Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Week 13 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 3, 2023

Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints – The Detroit Lions will visit the New Orleans Saints this Sunday, December 3rd at 1 PM ET in a Week 13 NFC showdown. The Lions have exceeded expectations with an 8-3 record while the Saints have disappointed at 5-6. According to Canada top online sportsbook, the Lions are 3.5-point road favorites.

Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints

Date & Time: Sunday, December 3 at 1 PM ET

Location: Caesars Superdome

TV: FOX

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Lions -154 -3.5 (+102)44.5 over (-111)
Saints +130+3.5 (-127)44.5 under (-111)

Detroit Lions Analysis

The Lions have been one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses in 2022. They lead the league in points per game behind breakout quarterback Jared Goff. Goff has already thrown for over 3000 yards with 18 touchdowns to just 8 picks. Detroit boasts dangerous weapons at the skill positions as well. Running back David Montgomery is averaging 81 rushing yards per game with 9 total touchdowns. Top wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown is a reception machine with 993 receiving yards. If this multi-dimensional attack keeps operating smoothly, Detroit will be tough for any defense to slow down.

The concern lies with Detroit’s leaky defense that ranks last in total yards allowed. There is minimal pass rush to speak of while the secondary has given up 17 touchdowns through the air. Veteran safeties DeShon Elliott and Tracy Walker must provide stability and leadership to the back end of the defense. Overall, Detroit is winning shootouts despite poor defensive play. But shoring up that side of the ball remains essential to sustain success.

New Orleans Saints Analysis

It’s been an up and down year for the Saints and veteran quarterback Derek Carr. The offense seemed to find its footing the past couple weeks as Carr surpassed 700 passing yards and 5 touchdowns in that span. His rapport with rookie standout Chris Olave has been impressive – Olave has 657 receiving yards on the year. Trusted running back Alvin Kamara continues working back to full strength after early-season injuries stalled the ground attack. Once fully healthy, this Saints offense has enough firepower to hang with most teams.

As always, the New Orleans defense remains competitive and stingy. They allow the 6th fewest points per game and excel at stopping the run. Playmakers like Cam Jordan, Demario Davis and Marshon Lattimore set the tone every week. But the pass defense has shown some vulnerability, especially when failing to generate pressure (just 23 sacks). For the Saints to pull off the minor upset, they must fluster Goff often and take away Detroit’s deep passing game.

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Against the Spread

Despite their strong record, Detroit has gone just 2-7 ATS over their previous 9 games against the Saints. New Orleans has also dominated this matchup at home, covering in 4 of the last 6 contests when hosting Detroit. The trends clearly favor the Saints given the history between these clubs.

However, much has changed with the Lions finally looking playoff-bound behind an explosive offense. Their newfound firepower combined with New Orleans’ inconsistent pass defense suggests Detroit could finally flip the script in this series. Laying less than a field goal on the road, Detroit appears poised to cover and continue rising in the NFC.

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Free Picks

Based on the odds, trends, and team stats, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Lions -154

The Lions’ offense is too overwhelming for the Saints defense to contain right now. Detroit wins comfortably to stay hot in the playoff race.

Spread: Lions -3.5 (+102)

Detroit is 5-1 ATS over its previous 6 road games while New Orleans is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 home dates. Ride with the red hot Lions to cover on the road.

Total: 44.5 over (-111)

This has the makings of a shootout with two capable offenses facing vulnerable defenses. The over is the strong play in what could turn into a track meet.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 30, New Orleans Saints 23

The safest bet is taking the Lions on the moneyline but the spread also holds value if you want some added insurance. Detroit’s team total over and the game total over are also appealing wagers. According to the latest NFL picks and predictions, the Lions should prevail in this NFC battle.