Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks – The Blue Devils and Razorbacks face off tonight in an exciting non-conference clash. Duke sits at 5-1 while Arkansas is 4-3, but has struggled against the spread recently. This should be a high-scoring contest with plenty of betting value. For the best NCAAB daily picks, be sure to check our analysis below on odds, trends, team stats, and key players.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Date & Time: Wednesday, November 29, 2023, at 9:15 PM ET
Location: Bud Walton Arena
TV: ESPN
Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Duke | -210 | -4.5 (-110) | 149 over (-110) |
| Arkansas | +170 | +4.5 (-110) | 149 under (-110) |
Duke Blue Devils Analysis
The Blue Devils enter with a prolific offense averaging 72 points per game. They excel inside, led by freshman phenom Kyle Filipowski putting up 18.8 points and 8 boards. Duke shoots 45.2% as a team with good balance across the starting five.
Defensively, the Blue Devils have been decent but still allow over 67 points a contest. They lack a true rim protector outside of Filipowski which could hurt against the Arkansas bigs. Duke will need to prevent easy looks in transition where the Razorbacks thrive.
Filipowski continues his remarkable debut season for the Blue Devils. The versatile big provides an inside scoring presence while having the ability to space the floor as well shooting 33.3% from three. With his size and strength, expect Coach K to gameplan getting Filipowski touches down low against a smaller Arkansas frontline.
Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis
The Razorbacks feature a top 20 offense themselves, led by guard Trevon Mark at 18 points per game. Arkansas moves the ball well with nearly 13 assists a night and multiple scoring threats. The Razorbacks shoot the 3 ball at just a 31.3% clip but will continue hoisting nearly 16 attempts a game.
Defensively, Arkansas plays aggressively by forcing over 12 turnovers per contest and collecting 8 steals. However, they rank outside the top 225 in opponent field goal percentage defense which could be problematic against the skilled Duke offense. Interior defense will be key for the Razorbacks in this one.
For Arkansas, Mark provides tremendous scoring punch from the guard spot at nearly 20 points per game. He is uber-efficient, shooting over 55% from the field and an impressive 40% from deep. The well-rounded offensive threat will look to exploit Duke’s perimeter defense off the dribble and with his sharpshooting from outside.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Against the Spread
Duke Blue Devils has performed admirably against the spread this year with an 8-4 ATS record. The Blue Devils have covered in 8 of their last 12 matchups. Duke also trends under the total recently, going under in 6 of their previous 9 contests. The total has gone under in 4 of the Blue Devils’ last 5 road games as well.
On the other side, Arkansas Razorbacks has severely struggled covering spreads, currently on a 6 game ATS losing streak. The Razorbacks are also on a 5 game ATS losing skid in November games. At home, Arkansas heavily trends over the total with nine of their last nine Bud Walton Arena games going over the projected point total. This contrasts with Duke’s under trend on the road.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Duke -210
Duke -210 provides nice value with the Blue Devils winning outright.
Spread: Duke -4.5 (-110)
Duke is the play as the Blue Devils have the defensive edge to cover and potentially win big.
Total: 149 over (-110)
Over looks on point considering both teams’ offensive firepower and struggles defensively.
Predicted Score: Duke Blue Devils 89, Arkansas Razorbacks 81
In conclusion, the most reliable pick appears to be the Duke Blue Devils on the Moneyline. Their consistent performance and Filipowski’s dominance provide a solid basis for this choice. For those looking for options in Canadian betting websites, this game offers an intriguing opportunity, especially considering Duke’s strong track record and the potential for a high-scoring affair.
