Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10-4-23 NCAAF Week 6 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10/4/23 – As the college football season reaches its midpoint, Week 6 showcases a tantalizing matchup between the Florida International Panthers and the New Mexico State Aggies. With both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses in the early part of the season, Canadian Week 6 NCAAF picks are buzzing with predictions. Let’s dive into the analysis of this midweek clash.

Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies

Date & Time: Wednesday, October 4, 2023, at 9:00 PM ET

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium


Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10/4/23 Betting Odds

Florida International+195+6 (-107)49.5 over (-105)
New Mexico State -225-6 (-113)49.5 under (-115)

Florida International Panthers Analysis

Offensively, the Panthers, led by quarterback Keyone Jenkins, have shown flashes of brilliance. Jenkins, who has managed a completion percentage of 53.6% from 110 passing attempts, amassing a total of 1000 passing yards, has been pivotal in moving the chains for the Panthers. Furthermore, his connection with wide receiver Kris Mitchell is something to watch out for. Mitchell, boasting 23 receptions, 459 receiving yards, and averaging a commendable 20 yards per reception, often acts as Jenkins’ go-to target. In the ground game, Shomari Lawrence has been instrumental. Averaging 5.9 yards per rush attempt, he has proven to be an essential part of their offensive arsenal, allowing the Panthers to have a balanced attack.

However, on the flip side, the Panthers’ defense has raised some eyebrows. Their historical data reveals an evident vulnerability, especially on the road. With a dismal 3-17 SU record in their last 20 away games, the defense often seems to crumble in hostile environments. They will need to address their defensive lapses and strategize to contain the potent Aggies offense, particularly quarterback Diego Pavia, who has been in excellent form.

New Mexico State Aggies Analysis

The Aggies have found a star in Diego Pavia. His quarterbacking has been nothing short of phenomenal. With a 63.9% completion rate and an accumulated 1073 passing yards, Pavia’s passing prowess has been a focal point of the Aggies’ offensive scheme. What’s more striking is his ability to take care of the ball, reflected in his impressive passer rating of 182.6. The Aggies also have a hidden gem in Jonathan Brady. Despite having just 10 receptions, his whopping average of 25.2 yards per reception showcases his ability to make significant plays. This capability to stretch the field has been a nightmare for opposing defenses.

On the defensive front, the Aggies have been relatively solid, especially at home. However, there are areas they need to tighten up, especially when facing teams with dual-threat quarterbacks like Jenkins. Their pass rush, which has resulted in 8 sacks on Pavia, will need to be more potent to pressure Jenkins and disrupt the Panthers’ offensive rhythm. Additionally, their defensive backfield will need to be on high alert against deep threats like Kris Mitchell, ensuring they minimize the damage in the aerial game.

Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Against the Spread

The betting trends indicate a mix of fortunes for both teams. Florida International Panthers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games, but historically they’ve struggled on the road, reflected in their 3-17 SU in their last 20 away games. Another intriguing point is the total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games played in October.

Conversely, New Mexico State Aggies have been in solid form, going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Their home form has been a highlight, with the total going OVER in 4 of their last 5 games at Aggie Memorial Stadium.

Florida International Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: New Mexico State -225

Given the New Mexico State’s stronger recent form and home advantage, they are the favored pick.

Spread: Florida International +6 (-107)

Despite the Aggies being favorites, the Panthers might keep it close, making them a good bet to cover.

Total: 49.5 under (-115)

Both teams have recent trends leaning towards the UNDER, and this game might be more defensive than some expect.

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 25, Florida International Panthers 22

In conclusion, while the Aggies appear poised to clinch a victory at home, bettors should not dismiss the Panthers, especially with the spread. For those interested in placing wagers, exploring top sports betting sites can provide additional insights and odds to refine your betting strategy.