Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions 11-23-23 NFL Week 12 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions 11/23/23 – As the NFL season enters its twelfth week, an intriguing matchup awaits: Green Bay Packers (4-6) hosting Detroit Lions (8-2). Set for Thursday at Ford Field and broadcast by FOX, this matchup promises to provide both teams a stern test during an increasingly fiercely contested campaign. Kickoff time at 12:30 PM ET should make this showdown both thrilling and beguiling – it promises an intense divisional rivalry that may also provide NFL betting picks opportunities!

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

Date & Time: Thursday, November 23, at 12:30 PM ET

Location: Ford Field


Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions 11/23/23 Betting Odds

Packers+297+7.5 (-111)44.5 over (-119)
Lions-375-7.5 (-112)44.5 under (-103)

Green Bay Packers Analysis

Offensively, the Packers under quarterback Jordan Love have seen mixed results this season. Love’s performance (2009 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions) suggests he is still finding his footing within the league; their rushing attack led by AJ Dillon hasn’t been as dominant as anticipated (despite 376 yards rushed and 3.7 yards per attempt) although Jayden Reed (417 yards, 4 TDs) offers some hope; overall though their offense needs more consistency to overcome Detroit Lions defense.

Defensively, Green Bay faces challenges. Their inability to consistently stop the run and vulnerabilities in the secondary have been evident in their recent outings. To overcome the Lions, the Packers must tighten their defensive line and improve their pass coverage. The key will be containing Detroit’s potent offense and forcing turnovers, areas where Green Bay has struggled but must excel in to secure a victory.

Detroit Lions Analysis

The Lions, on the other hand, have been a revelation, especially on offense. Quarterback Jared Goff has been efficient and effective (2507 passing yards, 14 TDs, 5 INTs), showcasing his skills as a capable leader. The real breakthrough has been in their ground game, with David Montgomery’s impressive 501 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns in just 6 games. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a revelation in the receiving game, amassing 821 yards and providing Goff with a reliable target.

Defensively, Detroit has shown resilience and a knack for timely plays. While not the most dominant unit, their ability to create turnovers and pressure the quarterback has been crucial in their successful campaign. They will look to exploit the Packers’ offensive inconsistencies, focusing on pressuring Love and disrupting their run game. For the Lions, maintaining their defensive discipline and capitalizing on Green Bay’s mistakes will be key.

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Against the Spread

The Packers have struggled against the spread, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, and have a concerning 2-11 ATS record in their last 13 games against Detroit. Their struggles on the road (1-4 SU in last 5 away games) further underscore their challenges. Conversely, Detroit boasts an impressive 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games, demonstrating their ability to outperform expectations. At home, they are even more formidable, with an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 home games and a perfect 5-0 ATS and SU in their last 5 home games against Green Bay.

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Lions -375

The Lions’ superior form and home advantage make them the safer pick. Their balanced offense and opportunistic defense give them the edge over the inconsistent Packers.

Spread: Lions -7.5 (-112)

Detroit’s strong ATS record, especially at home, and Green Bay’s struggles against the spread make the Lions the more attractive pick to cover.

Total: 44.5 under (-103)

Given Green Bay’s offensive struggles and Detroit’s ability to control the game’s tempo, the total is more likely to go under.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 27, Green Bay Packers 17

The Lions are the obvious favorite to come out victorious in this matchup due to their consistency and home field advantage, providing bettors interested in live betting in Canada with key takeaways like Detroit’s ability to cover the spread and predict lower-scoring games. This game offers Detroit a chance to cement their strong season while giving Green Bay another opportunity to shock odds-makers.