San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees 5-28-23 MLB Analysis, Odds and Tips

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees 5/28/23 – This MLB betting lines analysis delves into the exciting matchup between the San Diego Padres and the New York Yankees. Set to take place on Sunday at Yankee Stadium; this interleague showdown promises to be thrilling. The expected starting pitchers will be Yu Darvish and Gerrit Cole. With a focus on team analysis, starting pitchers, betting trends, and predictions, we provide valuable insights for making informed picks in this highly anticipated game.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees

Date & Time: Sunday, May 28, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET

Location: Yankee Stadium Bronx, New York

TV: YES Network

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees 5/28/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +115

Spread: +1.5 (-200)

Total: 7.5 over (-112)


Moneyline: -141

Spread: -1.5 (+140)

Total: 7.5 under (- 125)

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees Analysis

When assessing the offensive capabilities of the San Diego Padres, their batting average of 0.224 showcases consistency at the plate. While not among the highest in the league, the Padres have managed to produce runs effectively. Leading their offensive charge is a lineup that has contributed 205 runs and 60 home runs thus far in the season. These figures demonstrate their ability to generate scoring opportunities and capitalize on them.

Yu Darvish is taking the mound for the Padres, who has proven to be a reliable starting pitcher. With a win-loss record of 3-3 and an earned run average of 3.67, Darvish has displayed his ability to keep opponents at bay. His walks plus hits per inning pitched of 1.13 further emphasizes his control and effectiveness on the mound. In his nine starts, Darvish has pitched 54 innings, allowing 44 hits and 23 runs while striking out an impressive 57 batters. These numbers highlight his command and ability to keep the opposition’s scoring in check.

Conversely, the New York Yankees boast a higher batting average of 0.234, indicating their ability to make contact and get on base consistently. Their lineup has been a driving force, tallying 240 runs and launching 78 home runs. With a slugging percentage of 0.414, the Yankees possess the power to deliver extra-base hits and drive in runs with authority.

Gerrit Cole, the Yankees’ ace, anchors their pitching staff with an unblemished win-loss record of 5-0 and an impressive ERA of 2.53. Cole’s ability to limit runs and dominate opposing hitters has been on full display throughout the season. With a WHIP of 1.14, he has exhibited precise control, allowing only 23 walks while striking out 70 batters in his 11 starts. Cole’s presence on the mound instills confidence in the Yankees’ chances of securing a victory.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees Against the Spread

Considering the trends, we note that the under has hit in several recent Padres games. The trends include the under-hitting in the last 11 games when their opponent allows two runs or less, the last 4 Sunday games, and the last seven interleague road games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the under has hit in the last seven interleague road games against a right-handed starter. These trends highlight the Padres’ pitching strength in specific situations.

For the New York Yankees, the over has hit in their last five games when their opponent scores two runs or less. However, the under has hit in the last four interleague home games against teams with a losing record, the last four interleague home games overall, and 7 of their last seven games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. These trends indicate that the Yankees’ home games and matchups against pitchers with a low WHIP have resulted in lower-scoring affairs.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees Against the Spread Free Pick

Based on the analysis and the odds, the predicted score for this game is anticipated to be relatively low-scoring. Here are the recommended picks:

Moneyline: Yankees (-141)

The New York Yankees, as the favorites, have been displaying a solid offensive performance and possess a dominant starting pitcher in Gerrit Cole. The Yankees are positioned to win this matchup with their favorable betting trends and home-field advantage.

Spread: Padres +1.5 (-200)

Although the New York Yankees are expected to win, the San Diego Padres have shown resilience and possess a quality starting pitcher in Yu Darvish. Considering their recent trends of playing close games and a good run line, selecting the Padres at +1.5 provides a cushion in a narrow defeat.

Total: Under 7.5 runs (-112)

With both teams having solid pitching staffs and trends indicating a propensity for lower-scoring games, selecting the under 7.5 runs appears prudent—the combination of strong starting pitchers and potential defensive prowess points toward a game with limited runs.

Prediction: 4-2 New York Yankees win

The matchup between the San Diego Padres and the New York Yankees promises to be a thrilling contest for baseball enthusiasts and bettors. After analyzing both teams’ offensive prowess and starting pitchers, as well as considering the betting trends, our predictions indicate a low-scoring game. As MLB betting analysts, we suggest betting on the Yankees to win on the moneyline but also recommend taking the Padres on the spread of +1.5. The under 7.5 runs are advised due to solid pitching. As always, unpredictability is inherent in sports, so enjoy the game, and may luck be on your side.