Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 11-26-23 NFL Week 12 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 11/26/23 – As NFL season moves along, Week 12 matchup between Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans on Sunday stands out as a crucial matchup with profound playoff implications. Both teams enter this matchup at 7-3 and aim to secure playoff standings as both compete for supremacy in AFC South divisional standings as well as make strides towards NFL winning pick.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

Date & Time: Sunday, November 26, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: NRG Stadium


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 11/26/23 Betting Odds

Jaguars -121-0.5 (-115)44.5 over (-116)
Texans +103+0.5 (-106)44.5 under (-106)

Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis

The Jacksonville Jaguars have demonstrated a potency on offense this year under quarterback Trevor Lawrence‘s direction, boasting a completion rate of 68.1% with 2,382 passing yards and 11 touchdowns to illustrate his emergence into an elite NFL quarterback. Christian Kirk’s 672 receiving yards and three touchdowns have played an essential role in providing opposing defenses with plenty of challenge; Travis Etienne Jr’s contribution of 670 rushing yards and seven touchdowns helps maintain time possession as part of Jacksonville’s balanced approach on offense.

Defensively, Jacksonville exhibits both strengths and vulnerabilities. Their front seven is adept at applying pressure and restricting running lanes; however, their secondary has shown some inconsistency, an issue against an effective passing team like Houston. Therefore, Jacksonville must focus on strengthening their pass defense, particularly secondary-wise to reduce chances of conceding significant plays; increasing pass coverage as well as quarterback pressure will be key components to breaking up their offensive rhythm and taking back control of this game.

Houston Texans Analysis

Offensively, the Houston Texans have excelled this season due to quarterback C.J. Stroud‘s outstanding play. Stroud boasts a 62.8% completion rate and 2,962 passing yards; these statistics demonstrate his proficiency at moving the ball forward. His successful pairing with receiver Nico Collins for 696 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns serves as evidence of their effective passing strategy. Complementing their aerial attack is running back Devin Singletary who contributed 471 rushing yards and two touchdowns; Singletary’s consistent ground yardage adds another threat from which their offense can capitalize.

On defense, Houston displays both strong and improveable attributes. Their run defense has been impressively effective at curbing opponents’ rushing efforts while their secondary has struggled against long-range passing – which must be addressed given Jacksonville’s advanced passing abilities. Houston must improve pass coverage to generate consistent pressure on Jacksonville quarterback Bortles to derail Jacksonville’s offensive strategy while limiting expansive plays will be essential components of their game plan.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Against the Spread

Jacksonville has been impressive against the spread, particularly on the road, going 8-0 against the spread in their last 8 away games. Their record against Houston shows struggle, going 1-4 ATS over their past five meetings but bettors should take note that totals tend to go UNDER when Jacksonville visits Houston – something to keep an eye on for future matches!

The Texans have shown promise with a 4-1-0 record over their last five games and an 8-3-1 mark against AFC opponents; their recent home record at NRG Stadium, however, raises some alarm bells.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are our picks:

Moneyline: Jaguars -121

The Jaguars have shown a more consistent and balanced offensive approach, which could be decisive in this close matchup.

Spread: Jaguars -0.5 (-115)

Given their strong road ATS record and overall team balance, the Jaguars are poised to cover the narrow spread.

Total: 44.5 under (-106)

Both teams have a tendency to play lower-scoring games, especially in their recent matchups, making the under a viable option.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 23, Houston Texans 19

In a closely contested AFC South battle, Jacksonville Jaguars appear to be the best moneyline pick. Their overall team strength and recent form give them an advantage. Sports betting in Canada enthusiasts may want to capitalize on Jacksonville’s road strength as well as low-scoring games between these teams in this contest.