NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers 9-22-23 NCAAF Best Picks, Odds, and Prediction

NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers 9/22/23 – Week 4 of the NCAAF season features an intriguing matchup between the NC State Wolfpack (2-1) and the Virginia Cavaliers (0-3). With both teams looking to make a statement, this is a must-watch game, eagerly covered by Canadian top betting sites. Let’s dive into a comprehensive analysis of the contest, key players, betting odds, and best picks.

NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Date & Time: Thursday, September 22, 2023, at 7:30 PM ET  

Location: David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium  


NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers 9/22/23 Betting Odds

NC State-365-9.5 (-115)47.5 over (-115)
Virginia+295+9.5 (-105)47.5 under (-105)

NC State Wolfpack Analysis

Brennan Armstrong has had a respectable season thus far, completing 66 of his 105 pass attempts for 679 yards, with a completion rate of 62.9%. Armstrong has thrown 3 touchdowns against 3 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 120.9. On the ground, Jordan Houston has been reliable with 25 attempts for 96 yards, although the Wolfpack could use some more explosiveness from him. Kevin Concepcion, the team’s leading receiver, has 16 catches for 122 yards but has yet to find the end zone.

Although the Wolfpack are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games, the defense has not consistently lived up to the billing. This fact becomes more evident given their 1-6 ATS record in the last 7 games. This suggests that even though they’re winning, they’re not always beating the spread, implying some defensive vulnerabilities. On the road, these weaknesses are even more magnified, as evidenced by their 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 away games.

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

The Cavaliers’ offense, led by Anthony Colandrea, has been a bright spot despite their 0-3 record. Colandrea has a respectable 141.2 passer rating, throwing for 652 yards on a 62.5% completion rate. Perris Jones leads the running game with 87 yards on 26 attempts, and he’s the only Cavalier with a rushing touchdown this season. Receiver Malik Washington has been the star, pulling in 18 catches for 289 yards and a touchdown.

The defensive front for Virginia has been problematic. The Cavaliers have lost their last 6 games straight up and their last 5 home games. Additionally, they are 1-8 SU against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast Conference, which does not bode well for their chances against NC State. These stats suggest that Virginia’s defense needs an overhaul if they’re going to be competitive in this game.

NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers Against the Spread

The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS and 4-1 SU in their last 5 meetings against Virginia. However, they’ve struggled against the spread in their last 7 games overall, going 1-6 ATS. On the road, their record worsens to 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games.

Virginia has not fared well recently either, going 0-6 SU in their last 6 games and 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games. They are 1-8 SU against ACC opponents but are 4-2 ATS against teams from the Atlantic Division, suggesting that they might fare better against the spread than the outright outcome might indicate.

NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers Free Pick

Moneyline: NC State -365

Despite their recent struggles, they’ve dominated Virginia in their recent matchups, and their offense appears more consistent.

Spread: NC State -9.5 (-115)

Given Virginia’s weak defense and NC State’s previous performances against them, NC State should be able to cover the spread.

Total: 47.5 under (-105)

Both teams have shown a propensity for low-scoring games recently, and their defensive issues may not be enough to push this game over.

Predicted Score: NC State 28, Virginia 17

Week 4 presents a pivotal matchup for both the Wolfpack and the Cavaliers. The former aims to solidify its early-season promise, while the latter seeks its first win of the season. Based on trends, key players, and other stats, our NCAAF Week 4 betting picks favor NC State to continue their dominance over Virginia. Enjoy the game, and best of luck with your wagers!