Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills 10-1-23 NFL Week 4 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills 10/1/23 – A clash between two of the AFC East’s formidable teams is on the horizon. With both the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills showcasing their talents early in the season, this matchup is eagerly anticipated by fans and analysts. As the NFL moves into Week 4, those interested in making their NFL picks should take a closer look at this divisional battle of heavyweights.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Sunday, October 1, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Highmark Stadium


Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills 10/1/23 Betting Odds

Miami Dolphins+155+3.5 (-103)49.5 over (-111)
Buffalo Bills-175-3.5 (-119)49.5 under (-111)

Miami Dolphins Analysis

Offensively, the Dolphins have proven themselves with the arm of Tua Tagovailoa. Recording an impressive 65.3% completion rate with 715 passing yards in two games, Tua’s precision in distributing the ball, especially to dynamic wide receiver Tyreek Hill, has been paramount. Hill boasts 255 receiving yards over the two games, demonstrating his ability to stretch defenses and create plays downfield. Supplementing the passing game is Raheem Mostert, who, with an average of 5.6 yards per rush, provides a balanced attack for Miami.

On the defensive front, the Dolphins will have their hands full trying to contain the Bills’ potent offense. While their 4-1 SU record in their last five games demonstrates a competent defensive line, their historical performances against the Bills might be a cause for concern. Adjustments will need to be made, especially in their secondary, to counteract the Bills’ aerial assault.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Josh Allen, Buffalo’s franchise quarterback, has been delivering consistent performances. With a 76.9% completion rate and 510 passing yards over two games, Allen’s combination with Stefon Diggs will be crucial for Buffalo’s success. Diggs, accumulating 168 receiving yards in those games, remains Allen’s favorite target. Meanwhile, on the ground, James Cook, averaging 5.8 yards per carry, will look to exploit gaps in the Dolphins’ defense, ensuring the Bills have a dual-threat offensive approach.

Defensively, the Bills will focus on thwarting Miami’s surging offense. Their primary objective will be to pressure Tua and limit the explosive plays from Hill. The Bills’ secondary will be tested, and their linebackers will need to remain alert to Mostert’s runs. Effective communication and coordination will be key to ensuring they stay ahead in this matchup.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

Miami’s recent betting performance provides a glimpse of their determination. With an impressive 6-0 ATS in their last six games, the Dolphins seem to be surpassing expectations. However, their 1-9 SU record in their last ten games against the Bills and a 0-7 SU in road games against Buffalo might raise eyebrows among bettors.

Buffalo, on the other hand, stands strong with a 10-2 SU in their last 12 games, indicating a dominant performance in most matchups. Interestingly, their 7-0 SU streak when playing at home against the Dolphins points to a distinct home-field advantage. Yet, some cracks appear with a 2-5 ATS against AFC teams and a concerning 1-4 ATS against AFC East opponents.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Considering odds, trends, and key players, here are the predictions:

Moneyline: Bills -175

Given their recent form and home advantage, the Bills seem poised for a win.

Spread: Miami Dolphins +3.5 (-103) 

Despite the Bills’ recent dominance, the Dolphins’ ATS record suggests they can keep it close.

Total: 49.5 over (-111)

Both teams have explosive offensive players that can contribute to a high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 28, Miami Dolphins 26

In conclusion, this AFC East clash promises to be both thrilling and strategically intriguing. As both teams gear up for this critical matchup, bettors, especially those frequenting the best betting websites in Canada, will be eagerly placing their wagers. Expect a close game with moments of brilliance from both sides. The outcome of this game will not only influence divisional standings but also set the tone for the mid-season narratives. As always, in the unpredictable realm of the NFL, any given Sunday can produce unexpected results, and this showdown might very well be the week’s crown jewel.