Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 4-16-23 Odds, Best Bets and Analysis

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 4/16/23 – This weekend marks the official start of the NBA Playoffs and Miami Heat are headed to Milwaukee to take on top seed Milwaukee Bucks in a first-round matchup. Milwaukee earned the number one seed with 58 wins this season and successfully navigated through its play-in round against the Hawks but outlasting the Bulls on Friday night. Milwaukee opens this contest as points favorites from the latest basketball online odds.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date & Time: Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 5:30 PM ET

Location: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 4/16/23 Betting Odds

Heat

Moneyline: +345

Spread: +9 (-105)

Total: 219 over (-110)

Bucks

Moneyline: -425

Spread: -9 (-115)

Total: 219 under (-110)

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Analysis

Miami Heat defeated Chicago Bulls with a final score of 102-91 to secure their last victory, posting an impressive 41.0% field goal percentage and making 10 of 30 shots from beyond the three point line. Miami enters this game with a 45-39 record this year, averaging 109.5 points per contest while shooting 46.0% from the field and 34.4% on shots from distance while making 83.1 percent of their free throw attempts. As a team, they average 40.6 boards per contest while contributing 1,955 assists this season – ranking them 25th overall in terms of passing ball distribution. Turnovers occur 13.5 times per game and they average 18.5 personal fouls each night. On defense, the Heat have forced 15.7 turnovers per game while drawing 20.0 personal fouls per contest. They give up 36.7% on shots from downtown and rank second in PPG allowed among NBA teams. The Heat defense has allowed opponents a field goal percentage of 48.2% and have given up 41.8 rebounds per game as a team, ranking 14th overall in league assists with 2,097 conceded this year.

Last time out against the Toronto Raptors, Milwaukee Bucks suffered an unexpected defeat by a score of 121-105. While cleaning up their glass effectively, Toronto managed to get 45 total. Milwaukee currently stands with a record of 58-24 on the year. They commit an average of 18.1 fouls per contest, making 74.3% from free throw line, earning 25.8 assists per game while turning it over 14.6 times per contest. Milwaukee Bucks have amassed 9,589 points over the course of this year and average 48.6 boards per game on offense – good enough to rank 19th in the NBA. On defense, Milwaukee is shooting 47.3% from the floor. The Bucks rank 14th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 113.3, forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers per night and permitting teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor. Milwaukee gives up 35.4% of 3-point attempts and allows their opponents to connect on 77.6% of shots from the charity stripe, and gives up 23.9 assists and 44.2 total rebounds per game, ranking them 5th and 20th in the NBA respectively.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games. Miami are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games. Miami are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against Milwaukee. Miami are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee. Miami are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Milwaukee are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 games. Milwaukee are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games against Miami. Milwaukee are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick

Milwaukee proved more efficient offensively at home while their opponent will likely struggle defensively; therefore it would be wiser to pick them in this series opener according to latest NBA betting predictions.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (-115)