Miami Heat vs New York Knicks 5-10-23 Analysis, Odds and Best Bets

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks 5/10/23 – On Wednesday night, the New York Knicks faced elimination in their second-round playoff series against the Miami Heat. The Knicks lost two consecutive games in Miami, including a 109-101 setback on Monday that put them behind 3 games to 1. Now, the series has moved back to New York where the Knicks must attempt to avoid elimination and remain competitive in order to survive. However, the away team are predicted to come out on top of this match according to NBA betting analysts.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date & Time: Wednesday, May 10, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Madison Square Garden New York, NY


Miami Heat vs New York Knicks 5/10/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +145

Spread: +3.5 (-105)

Total: 209.5 over (-110)


Moneyline: -165

Spread: -3.5 (-115)

Total: 209.5 under (-110)

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Analysis

Game 4 saw Miami Heat defeat Knicks by 109-101 with an overall field goal percentage of 47.1% and 13 out of their 39 long distance attempts successfully completed. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 16 out of 22 attempts for an efficiency rate of 72.7%. As for their rebounding efforts, they tallied 44 total, 13 of which being offensive rebounds. They earned 28 assists for the competition while forcing 16 turnovers against them and getting 7 steals. Jimmy Butler was a major factor in this game, shooting 52.9% from the field and dishing out 10 dimes while playing 42 minutes and grabbing six rebounds; ultimately scoring 27 points on 9 of 17 shooting. 

Miami Heat as a team average 40.6 rebounds per game and have amassed 1,955 assists this season, placing them 25th overall in terms of passing the ball. They have connected on 34.4% of three-point attempts while shooting an impressive 46.0% from the field for an average 109.5 point per outing. On defense, Miami can force 15.7 turnovers each night while drawing 20.0 fouls; they currently ranked 14th in basketball for allowed assists with 2,097 conceded for this campaign. Their opponent shooting percentage average is 48.2% while they surrender 41.8 boards per game collectively as a team and 36.7% on 3-point attempts, placing them 2nd overall in terms of points per game allowed.

Game 4 saw New York Knicks allow Miami to score 44 total goals – 13 of them are offensive against them. They earned a 33.3% success rate from distance, hitting 13 of 39 attempts, while going 16-22 from the free throw line. The Knicks gave the Heat the opportunity to convert on 40 of 85 attempts from the floor for a rate of 47.1% in their matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Knicks shot 37 for 76 from the field for an effective field goal percentage of 48.7%. Jalen Brunson was instrumental in leading the Knicks. Brunson scored 32 points during 44 minutes of game action and totaled 11 assists; 10 out of 21 shots he attempted were successful for an efficiency rate of 47.6%, earning 4 rebounds as well.

The Knicks have committed 20.3 fouls per game this season and shot 76.1% from the free throw line. In terms of assists per game at 22.9 and turnovers per contest of 13.1, New York has amassed 9,514 points thus far and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds every contest on offense which ranked them to 20th in the league. The Knicks defense ranks 13th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 113.1, forcing 12.7 turnovers per game, and allowing opponents to shoot 46.2% from the floor. They allow 35.7% 3-pointers while opponents are making 78.2% from charity stripe. New York allows 25.1 dimes per game as well as 42.0 total rebounds which ranks them 13th and 7th respectively in terms of NBA statistics.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Against the Spread

Miami are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games. Miami are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games. Miami are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against New York. Miami are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games against New York.

New York are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York’s last 9 games. New York are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games at home. New York are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games when playing at home against Miami. New York are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Free Pick

The Heat have been unstoppable against the spread over their last seven games overall; including all four matches of this series. They have gone a perfect 7-0 against it. NBA betting forums believe the Knicks may find a way to win this matchup, though their margin of victory will likely be close but the Heat have proven themselves on the road and know exactly how to secure victory.

Free Pick: Miami Heat +3.5 (-105)