Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 9-28-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 9/28/23 – As MLB season winds down, every game counts for teams such as the Miami Marlins (81-75) as they look to secure more favorable standings. While New York Mets (71-85) may not have had their best season ever, this matchup between Jesus Luzardo and David Peterson should prove exciting! Sports enthusiasts and bettors are eagerly awaiting this contest and finding an appropriate Canadian sports betting site is key for getting optimal odds and insight.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Date & Time: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Location: Citi Field


Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 9/28/23 Betting Odds

Marlins-120-1.5 (+135)7.5 over -125
Mets+110+1.5 (-155)7.5 under +105

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins have displayed an impressive offensive profile this season. A batting average of 0.259 indicates consistency at the plate and 1375 hits that have generated 649 runs is indicative of their ability to keep scoring on schedule; 163 homers demonstrate power hitting that could prove pivotal when pressure mounts during close games. Unfortunately, their on-base percentage of 0.316 may indicate struggles to get runners on base regularly – a potential drawback when clutch hits are essential in high-pressure situations.

Defensively, the Marlins have demonstrated both resilience and vulnerability. Boasting a team ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.29, their pitching staff has mostly kept opponents’ offense in check with 1427 strikeouts; this signaled their dominance from behind the mound as well. Unfortunately, their opponent batting average (.246) indicates there may have been occasions where their defense has allowed more opponents freedom at bat than desired.

Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Marlins on Saturday. With an impressive 10-9 win-loss record and 3.73 ERA over 171.1 innings pitched this season, Luzardo has proven his worth as a pitcher – his 198 strikeouts present formidable opposition for Mets’ batters; although his control could use some tightening up due to 54 walks issued; when on his game though he can effectively contain their offense.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have faced numerous offensive hurdles this season, with their batting average standing at just 0.239 being less than stellar; however, their impressive power hitting prowess as evidenced by their 205 home runs is sufficient to make up for that deficit. Unfortunately for New York fans however, this power-heavy approach often results in either big runs scored or an inability to generate any runs at all; their on-base percentage of 0.317 puts them slightly ahead of Miami Marlins suggesting they do manage to capitalize on these opportunities consistently or not.

From a defensive perspective, the Mets have struggled this season. Their 4.33 team ERA and 1.36 WHIP indicate regular struggles to contain opposing teams; 574 walks given up over 1341 strikeouts is further evidence that control from the mound has been an ongoing issue; further, batters often find their groove against Mets pitchers which puts pressure on their offense to deliver results.

David Peterson, chosen as the Mets starter for this game, has had an eventful season thus far. Boasting just three wins over eight starts and an ERA of 5.37, Peterson has experienced difficulty controlling batters; his 1.6 WHIP over 104 innings pitched demonstrates this difficulty. Nonetheless, baseball is known for being unpredictable; Peterson could still bring something unexpected into this matchup; with 120 strikeouts under his belt already, he may surprise everyone else on the Marlins side and give them something serious competition in terms of pitching performance!

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Against the Spread

The Marlins have recently had a consistent performance, winning three out of their last five games while going 3-2 against the spread in those five. When playing away games however, their against the spread record drops significantly; 37-38 being their mark against them as opponents are often stronger at keeping to odds than at home.

The Mets, on the other hand, have experienced difficulties over recent games as evidenced by a 1-4 record and three wins against the spread in that span – but their road against spread record of 33-47 indicates how difficult their season has been so far.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Miami Marlins (-120) – Given the Marlins’ overall better season performance and Luzardo’s pitching statistics, they appear to be the stronger team in this matchup.

Spread: New York Mets +1.5 (-155) – Considering the Mets’ recent performance against the spread and the unpredictability of baseball games, they could cover the spread.

Total: 7.5 over -125 – Both teams have shown an inclination towards games going over the total recently, and with the offensive stats presented, there’s a good chance we’ll see more than 7.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 5, New York Mets 3.

As for baseball picks and predictions, Moneyline odds seem like the safest bet, although anything could happen in baseball; therefore it’s essential to thoroughly research all statistics, matchups, and recent performances before placing a bet.