New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins 10/29/23 – As we gear up for another thrilling week of NFL action, the New England Patriots will be traveling to sunny Florida to face the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. With New England (2-5) looking to get back on track and Miami (5-2) aiming to continue their winning streak, fans are eagerly searching for the best NFL picks today.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
Date & Time: Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: CBS
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins 10/29/23 Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Patriots | +475 | +10.5 (-112) | 47 over (-111) |
| Dolphins | -649 | -10.5 (-111) | 47 under (-111) |
New England Patriots Analysis
The Patriots’ offense is in a phase of adjustment and learning. Rookie QB Mac Jones, despite the team’s overall record, has shown significant promise as the future of New England’s passing game. With a commendable 66.7% completion rate, amassing 1,480 yards over seven games, he exhibits a keen sense of field awareness. However, the chemistry between him and his primary targets still seems to be in its infancy, especially with Kendrick Bourne, who, while reliable, is still looking for breakout moments. The running game, helmed by Rhamondre Stevenson, hasn’t been as dynamic. Averaging only 3.1 yards per carry indicates the need for the offensive line to step up and create better opportunities for Stevenson to exploit.
On the defensive front, New England faces numerous challenges. Historically known for their defensive prowess, this season has seen lapses, particularly in clutch moments. Key turnovers and a secondary that sometimes looks lost against faster, more agile receivers have hurt them, leading to their current record. If they aim to stifle the Dolphins’ high-octane offense, a renewed focus on containing deep threats and ensuring better pass rush will be paramount.
Miami Dolphins Analysis
The Dolphins are enjoying an offensive renaissance this season. At the heart of this transformation is QB Tua Tagovailoa, whose precision passing and game management have been nothing short of stellar. With 2,092 yards over seven games and a compelling 71.2% completion rate, Tua’s understanding with his star receiver, Tyreek Hill, has been a key highlight. Hill’s astounding 902 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns showcase not only his personal talent but also the success of Miami’s air raid strategy. The ground game, with Raheem Mostert, ensures opponents can’t just defend against the pass. His robust 5.6 yards per carry and an ability to break into long runs makes him a dual threat.
Defensively, the Dolphins have displayed a balanced performance, applying consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks while also being adept at defending against the run. Their strong home record is a testament to their overall defensive capabilities and game strategy. However, their secondary will need to remain vigilant, especially against young quarterbacks like Mac Jones who have the potential to pull off surprises. Tightening up the pass defense and ensuring tackles are made in the open field will solidify their chances of coming out on top.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Against the Spread
New England has struggled lately, going 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games. Their recent performances against Miami have been particularly troubling, going 0-6 ATS in their last six encounters. Traveling has also not been kind to them, evidenced by their 1-4 ATS record on the road.
Miami, on the other hand, has been a bettor’s delight. They have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games and have been especially dominant against AFC teams, going 7-1 ATS. At home against the Patriots, they’ve enjoyed a 5-1 ATS record in their last six matchups.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Dolphins -649
Given the Miami Dolphins’ form and home advantage, Miami is the safer pick.
Spread: Dolphins -10.5 (-111)
Considering New England’s recent struggles against the spread and Miami’s consistent performance, the Dolphins should cover.
Total: 47 under (-111)
Both teams have seen a majority of their recent games go UNDER, and with New England’s offense struggling, this trend is likely to continue.
Predicted Score: Miami Dolphins 28, New England Patriots 14
In conclusion, while the Patriots might put up a good fight, the Dolphins, backed by their stellar home record, appear too strong to be overcome this week. For those looking to place their bets, the Miami Dolphins covering the spread seems to be the most reliable pick among the top betting websites in Canada.
